KBO Picks for Saturday, May 15

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KBO Logo and Players on Runline

We had a few low-scoring affairs in the KBO on Friday, with four of the five games finishing with both teams combining for fewer than 10 runs. The KT Wiz picked up a 9-1 win over the Lotte Giants, while no other team was able to muster more than six runs.

We’ll see what Saturday (or late Friday night, if you’re in betting online in the US) has in store with another five-game KBO slate. MyBookie was quick to post their odds for the upcoming schedule, so let’s dive right in!

Kia Tigers at NC Dinos

Kia actually scored twice in the first inning of Friday’s game at the Dinos, but it was all downhill from there. The Tigers held a 2-1 lead until NC bounced back with four runs in the bottom of the seventh to put the game on ice in a 5-2 victory. The Dinos are now just 1.5 games back of Samsung for the best record in the league, while Kia is third-to-last at just 15-19.

As was the case last night, the Dinos are heavily favored again this evening. NC is tied with Kiwoom as the biggest moneyline favorite on the slate at -285, while the runline for this game is NC -2.5 (-103).

Jung-soo Park and his 2-0 record will get the ball for the Dinos, with Yu-sin Kim slated to go for Kia. Park has won both of his starts so far this season, though he did allow five runs on seven hits against KT last time out. The right-hander actually began his career with the Tigers before moving to NC ahead of last season. He was terrible out of the bullpen during his time with Kia before turning in a respectable 4.64 ERA last year with the Dinos.

Kim is 0-2 through three games so far this year with a hefty 7.90 ERA. That’s actually lower than his career mark of 8.77, but he’s still just 21 and in his second season in the Korean top flight. Kim has allowed one homer in every start so far this year, with more walks than strikeouts. This could get ugly tonight, as he’ll be facing a stacked Dinos offense that features Sung-bum Na, Aaron Altherr, and Eui-ji Yang, among others.

Just bet the Dinos here in some capacity. The -285 moneyline offers little upside, so betting the Dinos to win it by at least three runs at -103 is likely the better play if you’re looking for profit potential. Kim is not a good pitcher at this stage of his career, so NC should roll.

Pick: NC Dinos -2.5
Odds: -103
$100 Could Win You...$197.09

Hanwha Eagles at Kiwoom Heroes

Hanwha picked up a rare win on Friday night with a 6-1 triumph at Kiwoom. Min-woo Kim was dominant last night for the Eagles, striking out nine over the course of six shutout innings. The Eagles’ bats did a bit of damage against Won-tae Choi, while the bullpen gave up four runs behind him, as well.

MyBookie likes Kiwoom to bounce back tonight, as they’re massive -285 moneyline favorites. The runline on this game is still just 1.5, though, with Kiwoom favored there at -133 odds. Jake Brigham will take the mound for the heavily-favored Heroes, while Seung-gwan Lee starts for Hanwha.

This is Brigham’s fifth year with the Heroes, yet this will be his 2021 debut. He has been impressive over the past few years, with a career KBO ERA of 3.70. He went 9-2 with a 3.62 mark across 21 starts for Kiwoom last year. Assuming he’s able to shake off some rust after the long layoff, it’s easy to see why the Heroes are so favored here. Brigham might be the Heroes’ best pitcher, and he’s taking on the terrible Hanwha offense in his first game of the year.

Lee is a 21-year-old rookie that made his league debut just two days ago out of the bullpen. He only threw 17 pitches, but it’s still safe to assume he won’t be giving Hanwha many innings. This looks like a bullpen game for the Eagles, which isn’t a great situation for them given the lackluster state of the pitching staff as a whole.

Bet Kiwoom to cover the runline at -133.

Pick: Heroes -1.5
Odds: -133
$100 Could Win You...$175.19

Samsung Lions at LG Twins

The Lions suffered a 4-3 setback on the road against the LG Twins last night, but Samsung still leads the league with 21 wins. Samsung is a slight -120 road favorite tonight, with LG at -113. This game is close to a coin flip, but you can still get favorable +131 odds on Samsung to win it by at least two runs.

Min-ho Lee is slated to start for LG, with Chae-heung Choi going for Samsung. Lee is 2-2 through four starts after alternating wins and losses with each outing. Still only 19, the right-hander has a bloated 6.75 ERA so far this year after posting a very impressive 3.69 mark as a rookie in 2020. Lee started 16 of his 20 games last year, but he’s been a full-time starter so far this term.

Choi has a career 4.03 ERA at this level, and this will be just his second start of the season. He yielded three runs on five hits last time out against Lotte back on May 9, and he’ll have to navigate a powerful lineup tonight. The Twins are built around Roberto Ramos, but he ranks just third on the team in homers so far this year behind Hyun-soo Kim (6) and Eun-seong Chae (5).

I think the Twins are a solid underdog bet in this one. Lee has done impressive work since debuting in the league last year, and Choi’s resume is average at best.

Pick: LG Twins
Odds: -113
$100 Could Win You...$188.50

KT Wiz at Lotte Giants

The Wiz’ bats did a number on Kyung-eun Noh last night, piling up six runs on eight hits against the Lotte starter in five innings of work. All five of those runs came within the game’s first two innings, while the Wiz added a couple more later on their way to an easy 9-1 win.

The Wiz are big favorites on the road again tonight (-151) with Hyeong-jun So getting the ball. The underdog Giants will start Gyun-an Na, who will be making his first start of the season. Na actually began his career as a hitter with the Giants back in 2017, and this is his first year as a full-time pitcher. The right-hander has an ERA of 5.06 through four relief outings thus far this season.

So owns an unsightly 6.75 ERA through five starts on the year, but most of the damage came in his most recent outing. The 19-year-old allowed seven runs on six hits to the mighty Dinos, but he hadn’t given up more than four earned runs in any of his first four games. This is another youngster that was quite impressive last year as a rookie when he went 13-6 with a 3.86 ERA in 26 games.

I’m not at all convinced that Na is capable of giving the Giants many quality innings here, so I like the Wiz once again on the road. Bet KT to win this one at the -151 moneyline odds.

Pick: KT Wiz
Odds: -151
$100 Could Win You...$166.23

Doosan Bears at SSG Landers

Doosan doubled up SSG Landers 6-3 last night in the first game of their weekend set. The Bears got a home run out of Suk-hwan Yang and a solid outing from Been Gwak on their way to victory. Tonight, the Bears are slight -120 road favorites with Hee-kwan Yoo on the mound. SSG counters with Su-min Jung.

Yoo gave the Bears some solid years in the middle of the last decade, but the 34-year-old seems to be past his prime. Yoo has a 6.23 ERA so far this year after posting a 5.02 mark a season ago. The right-hander did hold Kia scoreless in six innings last time out, but he also allowed 10 hits and four runs the last time he faced SSG two starts ago.

Jung is 0-1 on the year. Half of his four outings have come in relief, but he has started each of his last two games. He lasted just 3.2 innings in his first start before being chased after 4.2 innings against the Heroes in his last game. Jung hasn’t found much success at the KBO level, as evidenced by his career 6.54 ERA.

Yoo may not be what he once was, but the Bears’ offense should be able to do some damage against a well-traveled also-ran in Jung. Doosan looks like a solid value as a -120 road favorite.

Pick: Bears
Odds: -120
$100 Could Win You...$183.33
Taylor Smith

Taylor Smith has been a staff writer with GamblingSites.org since early 2017. Taylor is primarily a sports writer, though he will occasionally dabble in other things like politics and entertainment betting. His primary specialties are writing about the NBA, Major League Baseball, NFL and domestic and international soccer. Fringe sports like golf and horse racing aren’t exactly his cup of tea, bu ...

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