KBO Picks for Tuesday, September 14

By in KBO on
6 Minute Read
KBO

There is still plenty of time left in the 2021 KBO regular season, but the KT Wiz are suddenly sitting pretty. After sweeping both ends of their doubleheader over SSG Landers on Saturday, the Wiz have opened up a 4.5-game lead at the top of the standings. KT is well ahead of the second-place Lions, while the LG Twins are just a half-game behind Samsung. The fourth-place Kiwoom Heroes are now 8.5 back, with no other team within 11 games of the Wiz.

So, KT finally has a bit of breathing room entering their midweek series against the Doosan Bears. Samsung and LG, meanwhile, may cannibalize one another as they get set to square off in a series of their own. 

Here’s how we see Tuesday’s KBO slate going down using the betting odds from DraftKings.

LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions

Samsung fell back in the standings over the weekend after missing a pair of golden opportunities. Following Friday’s 5-4 win over the bottom-feeding Hanwha Eagles, the Lions were held to back-to-back ties in Saturday’s doubleheader. The Lions and Eagles played to a 3-3 draw in Game 1 before a 6-6 tie in Game 2. 

As a result, Samsung is now facing a very uphill climb when it comes to catching KT at the top. The Lions will have to bounce back and focus on holding off the LG Twins for second place. LG had a rough weekend of their own, however, as they were held to a tie by Doosan on Friday before losing both ends of Saturday’s doubleheader.

DK’s oddsmakers like the Lions to win Tuesday’s series opener over the Twins. Samsung is a -145 moneyline favorite at home in a game with an over/under of 9.5 runs.

Samsung will throw ace Tae-in Won to the mound, while the Twins will counter with Chan-kyu Im. Won has been outstanding all year for Samsung, with a record of 12-5 and a 2.69 ERA in his first 19 games. Won has been dealt just one loss since the middle of June, though that defeat did come at the hands of these same Twins just three starts ago.

Im is just 1-5 on the year through eight games with a 4.76 ERA. The right-hander has a middling 4.88 career ERA in the KBO, and he has never posted a single-season ERA better than 4.08. Im hasn’t picked up a victory since beateing SSG way back on June 22. 

As is usually the case with Won on the mound, I like the Lions quite a bit here. Grab Samsung at -145 to get back into the win column.

The Bet: Samsung Lions (-145)

Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers

While Samsung and LG will do battle for second place, the Giants and Tigers are just trying to sneak their way into the playoffs. Lotte is just 47-54-3 and in eighth place in the standings, while Kia is 38-56-6 and buried in ninth.

The Tigers are healthy -160 moneyline favorites at home on Tuesday according to top online sportsbooks. Daniel Mengden will toe the rubber for Kia in this one, while the Giants will start Seung-heon Lee. 

Mengden is 4-2 through 13 games with the Tigers with a 4.14 ERA. The former Oakland Athletic has picked up no-decisions in back-to-back games, and he’s looking for his first win since beating these Giants back on August 25. Mengden won that game despite allowing four runs on seven hits, including three homers.

Lee has made eight appearances for Lotte the season, including five starts. The righty has a 5.40 ERA, which is right in line with his career 5.80 mark. Lee hasn’t been the winning pitcher in any of those eight outings on the year, and his last start on September 7 against Samsung was his first non-relief outing since May 1. 

This game featuring a pair of cellar-dwellers could go either way, but I give the Tigers the slight edge with Mengden on the mound. Take Kia at the -160 moneyline odds at home.

The Bet: Kia Tigers (-160)

Hanwha Eagles vs. SSG Landers

The woeful Hanwha Eagles are destined to finish in last place for the second consecutive year. Hanwha is now just 38-64-7 on the year, which puts them four games worse than ninth-place Kia in the standings. 

As usual, Hanwha is a betting underdog tonight when they hit the road to take on SSG. You can get the Eagles at even-money to win this one with Nick Kingham on the mound, while the Landers will start Min-jun Choi.

Kingham is a former major leaguer, and he has been one of the few bright spots for the Eagles’ rotation. The right-hander pitched just twice for SSG last season due to injury, but so far this season he’s 8-5 with a 3.02 ERA through 17 games for the Eagles. Having a winning record is no easy task for an Eagles pitcher this season. Kingham has won four of his last five games without allowing more than two runs in any game. 

Choi has spent the vast majority of the season operating out of the SSG bullpen. The right-hander has a 2-1 record across those 30 games, including just five starts. Each of his last five appearances have been starts, but he’s picked up just won victory in that span.

Hanwha looks like a good bet at even-money to grab a win here. Kingham has been one of the KBO’s hottest pitchers of late, and he’s probably Hanwha’s best bet on the mound at this point.

The Bet: Hanwha Eagles (+100)

Kiwoom Heroes vs. NC Dinos

Kiwoom and NC are occupying fourth and fifth place, respectively, entering their series on Tuesday. The Heroes hold a slight 2.5-game lead over the defending Korean Series champs, though oddsmakers heavily favor the Dinos in the series opener. 

NC is a -160 home favorite on Tuesday with American Wes Parsons on the mound. The Heroes will counter witH Dong-hyeok Kim. Parsons has been a steady presence next to Drew Rucinski atop the Dinos’ rotation this season, with a record of 3-5 but a solid 3.68 ERA. Parsons has been a hard-luck pitcher for NC, though, as he has not picked up a win since way back on May 27 against the Lions. 

That said, he has pitched well. Parsons hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in a game since May 1. It’s just a matter of run support. The Dinos’ offense has had a very difficult time putting runs on the board whenever Parsons takes the mound.

Kim is another pitcher that has spent most of the season in the bullpen. The 19-year-old has pitched 31 times overall this season, with just five starts under his belt. Those five starts have come in his last five games, but he’s still looking for his first win. Kim has a steady 3.96 ERA on the year, but he has allowed at least three runs in four of his five starts.

I like NC to finally pick up another win with Parsons on the mound here. Grab the -160 odds on the Dinos to beat the Heroes tonight.

The Bet: NC Dinos (-160)

KT Wiz vs. Doosan Bears

The final game of the night will pit the league-leading Wiz against the Doosan Bears. The Bears are actually -115 home favorites in this one, though you can still get the Wiz at -105 on the moneyline away from home. 

We’ve got a clash between a pair of former major league starters in this one. Ariel Miranda will make another start for Doosan, while the Wiz will pitch veteran Odrisamer Despaigne.

Miranda has been one of the best pitchers in all of Korea this season. The southpaw is 12-4 with a 2.33 ERA, which ranks among the best marks in the league. Miranda is riding a four-game winning streak, and he’s lost just one decision in his last seven games overall. However, Miranda did suffer a rare defeat against the Wiz back on May 19 when he allowed six runs on eight hits in an uncharacteristically bad showing.

Despaigne is 9-7 with a 3.23 ERA this year, which comes on the heels of a 15-win campaign last year in his first in the KBO. Despaigne has hit a bit of a rough patch, however, as he hasn’t won a game since August 18 against the Twins. The right-hander was chased from his last start after just 1.2 innings after yielding four runs on five hits against Kia.

You won’t often see the Wiz listed as underdogs these days, so this represents a good chance to take the value on the best team in the league. Take a shot on KT to keep the good times rolling tonight with Despaigne on the mound.

The Bet: KT Wiz (-105)
Taylor Smith

Taylor Smith has been a staff writer with GamblingSites.org since early 2017. Taylor is primarily a sports writer, though he will occasionally dabble in other things like politics and entertainment betting. His primary specialties are writing about the NBA, Major League Baseball, NFL and domestic and international soccer. Fringe sports like golf and horse racing aren’t exactly his cup of tea, bu ...

View all posts by Taylor Smith
Email the author at: [email protected]