Kentucky vs Georgia college football pick

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Kentucky Wildcats at Georgia Bulldogs Pick – Georgia (No moneyline)
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The lone battle of unbeatens taking place in major college football this weekend pits the Kentucky Wildcats against the Georgia Bulldogs. Expect your typically raucous SEC atmosphere to prevail on Saturday afternoon, especially considering that Georgia is the newly-minted #1 team in the nation.

Kentucky has been one of the surprising stories to date in the 2021 college football season, but this will be their toughest task to this point. The action goes down on Saturday afternoon at 3:30 PM Eastern Time at Sanford Stadium in Athens, Georgia, home field of the Bulldogs.

Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneylines Totals
Kentucky Wildcats +22.5 (-113) N/A Over 45 (-108)
Georgia Bulldogs -22.5 (-107) N/A Under 45 (-112)
Betting Data Kentucky Wildcats Georgia Bulldogs
2021 Record 6-0 6-0
2021 Home 5-0 3-0
2021 Away 1-0 2-0
2021 ATS 5-1 5-1
2021 ATS Home 4-1 2-1
2021 ATS Away 1-0 2-0
2021 O/U 4-2 3-3
2021 O/U Home 4-1 2-1
2021 O/U Away 0-1 1-1

Kentucky Georgia Game Preview

They’ve been playing this series in the SEC since 1939, and Georgia has dominated it. In 74 games between the two teams, Georgia has won 60 times against Kentucky’s 12 wins with 2 ties. But it could be argued that this is one of the biggest games in this matchup’s history, considering the unbeaten status of the teams.

Kentucky came into the season without much fanfare, which is understandable considering their football history. But here they are with a 6-0 record halfway through the season. Included among those wins are back-to-back conquests over Florida and LSU, two teams that have traditionally dominated the Wildcats on the football field.

Georgia has been a steamroller ever since a grinding opening victory over Clemson in a showdown of Top 5 teams. They haven’t been tested since then, winning their next five by an average of just shy of 40 points. That includes a 37-0 shutout of Arkansas, who came into that game unbeaten, and a 24-10 win over Auburn last week.

Opening Odds and Line Movement for Game

Although the point now sits at 22.5, which is where it began at the start of the week, there has been significant movement. At one point, it rose up to 24 in favor of Georgia. But an surge in Kentucky betting has brought it back down to where it began.

As for the over/under, it has been frozen at 45 the entire time the line has been active. That’s a low number for this day and age in college football. The only slight twitch in the over/under has to do with the moneyline, which is now just ever so slightly in favor of the under.

Head to Head Betting Trends

  • This game is on the schedule every season, and yet Kentucky hasn’t defeated Georgia since 2009
  • Kentucky has managed to cover as the underdog in each of the last two seasons against Georgia
  • Before those two covers by Kentucky, however, it was Georgia who covered six games in a row against the Wildcats
  • Kentucky has failed to score more than 17 points in any of the last four games that they’ve played against Georgia
  • The under has been the right bet between these two teams the last seasons and in four of the last

Kentucky Betting Trends

  • Kentucky has started the year off by covering the spread in five out of their first six games played
  • They also won and covered the spread in the only game that they played on the road so far this year
  • The Wildcats have covered four of the last five games they’ve faced an SEC East opponent (they pushed the game that they didn’t cover)
  • Five of Kentucky’s last six road games have gone under the projected over/under total
  • Since 1993, Kentucky has managed just one outright win in 27 tries when playing as an underdog of 21.5 points or more
  • The Wildcats have covered 9 of 13 since 2019 when playing a team with a winning record
  • They’ve been very tough in the month of October, covering the spread at a rate of 80 percent in the month since 2019
  • Kentucky has covered the spread in just 40 percent of their road games over the past three seasons

Georgia Betting Trends

  • Like their opponents on Saturday, Georgia has started the year 5-1 against the spread
  • Going back to last year, the Bulldogs have covered 83 percent of their last six games against SEC teams
  • In the last five games that Georgia has played against a team from the SEC East, the over has come in every time
  • As a favorite of between 21.5 points and 31 points over the past three years, Georgia has covered the spread at a rate of 55 percent
  • Georgia is one game under .500 against the spread in home games since 2019
  • They’ve won nine of their last dozen games against teams with a winning record and they’ve covered the spread in seven of those contests
  • Georgia has covered the spread in 54 percent of their SEC games in the last three seasons of play
  • The Bulldogs have covered the spread in 13 of 22 games played on grass since the 2019 season

Free Bet and Game Prediction:

Georgia is putting up historic defensive numbers so far this year, all the more impressive considering this is such a high-scoring age in college football. They’ve shut out two opponents, and the 13 points managed by South Carolina represents the high-water mark against them this year.

Kentucky will give their All-American candidate running back Christopher Rodriguez all of the burden he can handle to stem the Georgia pressure. Averaging just shy of 128 rushing yards per game on nearly 6 1/2 yards per carry, Rodriguez will try to keep the Wildcats ahead of the chains.

If it gets to a point where the Wildcats are forced to throw, the Georgia pass rush, fifth in the nation in sack percentage will tee off. It would be better if the Wildcats try off-script throws, particularly if quarterback Will Levis can try to spring Wan’Dale Robinson deep for some post patterns.

Georgia’s offense is almost getting short shrift because of all of the attention paid to the defense so far. Yet the Bulldogs offense has been no slouch, sitting in the Top 10 in scoring and in the Top 25 in yards per play. They hit you with a deep group of playmakers instead of relying on just one or two threats.

It seems likely that Stetson Bennett will remain in place as quarterback with JT Daniels still dealing with injuries. But Bennett has added a dual-threat capability to the attack that has opened things up for the running backs. That will keep Kentucky’s defense, which has been efficient and effective so far, on its heels.

For Kentucky to have any kind of a shot, they’ll need to produce some big plays early. Expecting to grind out long drives against the Georgia defense seems like a fool’s game. Those big plays will likely be few and far between, and Georgia will turn Levis (six interceptions this year) over to create separation in an easy win.

Pick: Georgia
Odds: N/A
$100 Could Win You...N/A

Kentucky at Georgia Betting Recap:

  • Oddsmaker: BetOnline
  • Moneylines: N/A
  • Spread: Kentucky +22.5 (-113), Georgia -22.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under: 45 (Over -108, Under -112)
  • Prediction: Georgia 37, Kentucky 10
Jim Beviglia

Jim Beviglia joined as a staff writer in 2018, parlaying his years of freelance writing into contributions on a number of different topics. He handles the sport of horse racing for and the intersection between the worlds of cryptocurrency and online gambling in a weekly blog. For his full-time job, Jim handles the television and track announcing duties at a h ...

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