Las Vegas Raiders at Dallas Cowboys Pick

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Las Vegas Raiders at Dallas Cowboys Pick – Dallas (-330)
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The Dallas Cowboys keep the tradition going by hosting an NFL Thanksgiving game, this time around against the Las Vegas Raiders. These two teams have struggled the past few weeks, making this matchup extremely important to both teams.

The Cowboys are still holding on to their lead in the NFC East, while the Raider are trying to reassert their positioning in the AFC Wild Card chase. Kickoff takes place from AT&T Stadium in Dallas, Texas at 4:30 PM Eastern Time on Thursday afternoon.

Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneylines Totals
Las Vegas Raiders +9 (-135) +275 Over 51.5 (-110)
Dallas Cowboys -9 (+115) -330 Under 51.5 (-110)
Betting Data Las Vegas Raiders Dallas Cowboys
2021 Record 5-5 7-3
2021 Home 3-3 4-1
2021 Away 2-2 3-2
2021 ATS 4-6 8-2
2021 ATS Home 2-4 4-1
2021 ATS Away 2-2 4-1
2021 O/U 5-5 5-5
2021 O/U Home 4-2 3-2
2021 O/U Away 1-3 2-3

Las Vegas Raiders at Dallas Cowboys Game Preview

These teams don’t meet up all that often considering that they’re from different conferences. They generally meet every four years or so, and their last game was indeed four years ago in 2017. The series between the two is dead even at 6 wins apiece.

Even for a franchise known for drama, 2021 has been excessive for the Raiders. Their 5-5 record includes three straight wins to start the year, two losses, two more wins, and then losses in the last year. Along the way, they lost their head coach to scandal and their two 2020 first-round draft picks to off-the-field issues.

Dallas is trying to find its mojo once again after a six-game winning streak had them sitting pretty in the NFC. Since the return of quarterback Dak Prescott from injury, the offense has surprisingly staggered. As a result, they’ve lost two of their last three.

Opening Odds and Line Movement for Game

This spread took a pretty significant jump on Tuesday, likely in response to the news that it looks like Cowboys receiver CeeDee Lamb might be able to suit up. The line, which began at seven point, took a two-point jump in favor of Dallas, making them a nine-point favorite.

It’s interesting that the over/under hasn’t moved that much in response to the Lamb news. The over/under started at 50.5. There has been a slight upward push to 51.5, but nothing too dramatic considering the importance of Lamb.

Head to Head Betting Trends

  • The Cowboys have won the last three games they’ve played against the Raiders
  • The Raiders haven’t won a game in Dallas since all the way back in 1998
  • Las Vegas hasn’t been favored in a game against the Cowboys since back in 2005
  • This series has been very even in terms of the point spread, with two Cowboys covers, two Raiders covers and a push in the last five meetings
  • Three of the last four games between Dallas and Las Vegas have gone under the projected points total

Las Vegas Raiders Betting Trends

  • Las Vegas has covered the spread in 45 percent of their nonconference games since the start of the 2019 season
  • Three of the four games that the Raiders have played on the road this season have gone under the projected points total
  • The Raiders have not only lost three games in a row, but they’ve also failed to cover the spread in any of those games
  • In the last 15 games that the Raiders have played, the over has been the correct wager 10 times
  • Las Vegas has covered the spread in just one of the last five games that they’ve played against the NFC
  • The Raiders have struggled in turf games over the past three seasons against the spread, going just 8-15
  • When playing against teams with a winning record in the second half of the season since 2019, the Raiders have covered the spread only 29 percent of the time
  • Vegas is .500 against the spread on the road in the last three seasons

Dallas Cowboys Betting Trends

  • After covering the spread in their first seven games of the season, Dallas has faield to over in two of their last three games
  • The Cowboys are 4-1 against the spread in their five games at home in 2021
  • Four of the last five games Dallas has played has gone under the projected number
  • As a favorite in this spread range (3.5 to 9.5) over the last three years, Dallas has covered the spread 67 percent of the time
  • Dallas is 12-9 against the spread at home since 2019
  • They are one game below .500 against the spread at home since the start of the 2019 season
  • Dallas has lost all four of its Thursday games over the past three seasons and covered the spread in just one of those contests
  • The Cowboys are just 4-8 against the AFC West in their last 12 games against that particular division

Free Bet and Game Prediction:

While these two teams have combined to lose five of their last six games, there is a very different feel between the two. Dallas feels like they’re just a few tweaks and some injury returns back to excellent play. But the Raiders feel like they’re in freefall.

You can kind of understand why, with all that’s befallen them in the last few months. On the field, the loss of Henry Ruggs robbed Derek Carr of his one main deep threat. A team that was already sort of dink and dunk is hemmed into the line of scrimmage even more now.

Las Vegas’ poor personnel decisions have also left them with an offensive line incapable of clearing any lanes for the running game. The Raiders are 28th in the league in both yards per carry and rushing yards per game. That puts way too much pressure on Carr, who is starting to feel it.

The Dallas offense has struggled with getting the ball down the field in the passing game, and they’re going up against a Raider defense that has been strong in that area. If Lamb doesn’t play, that could cause big issues for Dak Prescott, as was the case last week when the Chiefs bothered him all game.

Getting Tyron Smith back at left tackle should solve some of those issues in protection. More than anything, Dallas should be able to run the ball effectively. Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard should be able to feast on a defense that 25th in opponents’ yards per rush and 29th in opponents’ rushing yards per game.

With the defense softened up by the run, Prescott should find enough space for play action success. But look for the Cowboys defense to be the key unit in this one, stifling the Raiders at every turn. Dallas should be celebrating at the end of Turkey Day with a comfortable victory.

Pick: Dallas
Odds: -330
$100 Could Win You...$130.30

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions Betting Recap:

  • Oddsmaker: BetOnline
  • Moneylines: Las Vegas Raiders +275, Dallas Cowboys -330
  • Spread: Las Vegas Raiders +9 (-135), Dallas Cowboys -9 (-+115)
  • Over/Under: 51.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
  • Prediction: Dallas Cowboys 24, Las Vegas Raiders 9
Jim Beviglia

Jim Beviglia joined as a staff writer in 2018, parlaying his years of freelance writing into contributions on a number of different topics. He handles the sport of horse racing for and the intersection between the worlds of cryptocurrency and online gambling in a weekly blog. For his full-time job, Jim handles the television and track announcing duties at a h ...

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Jim Beviglia

Jim Beviglia joined as a staff writer in 2018, parlaying his years of fr ...

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