Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens Week 6 Preview, Pick, and Prediction

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Chargers vs. Ravens Pick – Los Angeles Chargers (+130)
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A couple of high-flying AFC contenders will do battle on Sunday afternoon in Baltimore. The Los Angeles Chargers, fresh off of a stirring 47-42 comeback win at home over the Browns, will head east to face the Ravens on the road. Baltimore, meanwhile, picked up a come-from-behind victory of their own on Monday Night Football over the Colts. The Ravens fell into a 22-3 hole before storming back to win the game on a Marquise Brown touchdown catch in overtime.

This game will be an excellent test for both sides. The Ravens are off to an impressive 4-1 start, but they haven’t faced the most difficult competition. Baltimore’s best win of the season was a one-point win over the Chiefs in Week 2, but they’ve also beaten the Lions, Broncos, and Colts. Keeping the Chargers’ offense under wraps will be a tall order for the Ravens’ defense.

The Chargers, meanwhile, will head from the west coast to the east coast for the second time this season. LA is also off to a 4-1 start, but three of their last four games has been played in the Pacific Time Zone. That said, they did get off to a 1-0 start with a solid win over Washington on the road back in Week 1.

The Ravens are favored by slightly less than a field goal at BetOnline in this one.

Chargers vs. Ravens Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneylines Totals
Los Angeles Chargers +2.5 (-105) +130 Over 52 points (-110)
Baltimore Ravens -2.5 (-115) -150 Under 52 points (-110)
Betting Data Los Angeles Chargers Baltimore Ravens
2021 Record 4-1 4-1
2021 Home 2-1 2-0
2021 Away 2-0 2-1
2021 ATS 4-1-0 2-3-0
2021 ATS Home 2-1-0 1-1-0
2021 ATS Away 2-0-0 1-2-0
2021 O/U 1-4-0 3-2-0
2021 O/U Home 1-2-0 2-0-0
2021 O/U Away 0-2-0 1-2-0

Chargers vs. Ravens NFL Game Preview

You’d be hard-pressed to find a young quarterback in the league whose stock is skyrocketing as much as Justin Herbert’s is right now. Herbert faced high expectations coming off of a record-setting rookie season, yet he’s picked up right where he left off to begin his sophomore campaign. The Oregon product threw for nearly 400 yards with four touchdowns and no turnovers in last week’s barn-burning win over the Browns.  LA is averaging better than 411 yards of offense per game this season, which is the seventh-most in football.

Herbert has been great, but don’t sleep on Lamar Jackson. The 2019 NFL MVP took some heat for the Ravens’ shortcomings last year, but he’s gotten off to an incredible start this season. Jackson’s Ravens actually lead the league in yards per game, averaging north of 440. The 24-year-old is also fresh off of one of the best performances of his career. Jackson completed over 86 percent of his passes for 442 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions in the comeback win over Indy. He also ran the ball 14 times for another 62 yards, for good measure.

Jackson is averaging north of six yards per rushing attempt for the third consecutive season. Baltimore’s running backs corps has been decimated by injuries already this season, but that hardly matters when you have a weapon like Jackson under center. No QB has rushed for more than 46 yards in a game against the Chargers’ defense this season, but they also haven’t faced a quarterback remotely as mobile as Jackson.

Have the Ravens gotten a bit lucky? Perhaps. They needed big second-half comebacks to beat the Chiefs and Colts, while a Justin Tucker 66-yard field goal was the only thing that spared them from an embarrassing loss in Detroit in Week 3. This team could easily be 1-4 right now if a few breaks had gone against them.

Opening Odds and Line Movement for Game

Head to Head Betting Trends

  • The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings between these teams
  • The road team is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings
  • Ravens lead the all-time series 7-6
  • Chargers beat the Ravens in Baltimore the last time these teams met in the 2019 playoffs

Los Angeles Chargers Betting Trends

  • Chargers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games in October
  • Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after a victory
  • Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five Week 6 games
  • Chargers are 35-15-4 ATS in their last 54 games as an underdog on the road
  • Chargers are 13-6-2 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog overall

Baltimore Ravens Betting Trends

  • Ravens are 3-0 in their last three games, but they are just 1-2-0 against the spread in that span
  • Ravens games have a combined average of 47.3 points in their last three games
  • Ravens have hit the over once in their last three games
  • Ravens are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite
  • Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a victory

Free Bet and Game Prediction

Both teams should be feeling pretty good about themselves coming into this one. The Chargers’ lone loss of the season came at home to the Cowboys in Week 2, which was a very winnable game. Los Angeles had two touchdowns called back due to penalties, and Dallas won the game with a field goal as time expired. The Ravens have reeled off four wins in a row after a heartbreaking loss to the Raiders in Las Vegas in Week 1.

Third Down Success for Chargers

The Chargers are 4-1, but they haven’t taken the easy route to get there. LA’s offense is loaded with talent, yet they’re still working out some of the kinks. The Chargers fell behind 27-13 against the Browns last week, thanks in large part to the team’s inefficiency in early-down situations. LA averaged 8.7 yards per third down in the first half of the game. The Chargers have been much more efficient passing the ball in third-down situations than they have on first or second down, which is something that should correct itself moving forward. There is no reason to believe Los Angeles’ hugely talented passing attack will continue to struggle as much as they have in early-down situations.

Once they correct that problem, there is really no limit to how good this offense can be. Baltimore’s defense has played fairly well this season, but the Ravens can be attacked through the air. The Ravens have allowed the fourth-most passing yards per game in the league this season at an average of 296.4 per week. If Herbert and the LA offense can find an early rhythm, they should have little issue moving the ball and putting points on the board in this game.

Ravens’ Rushing Attack

Jackson had a career night from a passing perspective in Monday’s win over the Colts, but the Ravens are a run-first team. Baltimore’s string of 43 consecutive games with at least 100 rushing yards as a team came to an end in Week 5, but they’ll look to start a new streak against the Chargers at home on Sunday. Abandoning the run game was necessary for the Ravens to overcome their early deficit last week, but they’ll look to establish the tempo in this one.

The issue these days is that the Ravens just lack talent in the running game outside of Jackson. JK Dobbins’ season-ending injury was a big blow to this offense, and John Harbaugh is attempting to patch it up with the likes of Latavius Murray, Ty’Son Williams, and Devonta Freeman. Jackson is the only game-breaking threat in the Ravens’ rushing attack right now. If the Chargers can keep him from getting out into open space, LA should be just fine.

The Pick

While the Ravens may not be quite as dynamic in the run game as they usually are, the Chargers have struggled to stop opposing runners this season. LAC is allowing 157.6 yards per game on the ground, which is the worst mark in the league. The Chargers have been able to generate pressure on opposing QBs while stifling the pass, so Baltimore’s chances in this game hinge on whether Jackson and co. can do damage on the ground.

Frankly, I’m having a hard time seeing it, and I’m a little surprised to see the Ravens favored in this one. Jackson may have gone off against the Colts, but he’s going to have a much more difficult time picking apart the LA secondary. The likelihood that the Chargers can move the ball at will against this Baltimore defense likely means the Ravens may have no choice but to take an aerial approach in this one just to keep pace.

I think there’s upside in taking the road team here. West Coast teams tend to struggle when forced to travel cross-country, but we have already seen these Chargers win a game in Washington this season. I think the Chargers’ +130 moneyline odds look awfully attractive in this game.

Pick: Chargers
Odds: +130
$100 Could Win You...$230

Chargers vs. Ravens Betting Recap:

  • Oddsmaker: BetOnline
  • Moneylines: Chargers +130, Ravens -150
  • Spread: Chargers +2.5 (-110), Ravens -2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: Over 52 points (-110), Under 52 points (-110)
  • Prediction: Chargers +130
Taylor Smith

Taylor Smith has been a staff writer with GamblingSites.org since early 2017. Taylor is primarily a sports writer, though he will occasionally dabble in other things like politics and entertainment betting. His primary specialties are writing about the NBA, Major League Baseball, NFL and domestic and international soccer. Fringe sports like golf and horse racing aren’t exactly his cup of tea, bu ...

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