On Sunday, December 5th, the New York Giants will battle the Seattle Seahawks in a matchup of two divisional leaders. Seattle has regained control over the NFC West and the Giants lead the worst division in football – the NFC East.
Can the Giants pick up their biggest win of the season or will Seattle extend their lead in the NFC West in addition to taking aim at the conference’s top seed the New Orleans Saints? Kickoff inside Lumen Field is at 4:05PM ET.
The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:
|New York Giants||+10 (-115)||+370||Over 46.5 (-110)|
|Seattle Seahawks||-10 (-105)||-460||Under 46.5 (-110)|
|Betting Data||New York Giants||Seattle Seahawks|
|2020 ATS Home||2-3||4-1|
|2020 ATS Away||5-1||2-4|
|2020 O/U Home||2-3||3-2|
|2020 O/U Away||1-4-1||3-3|
These two divisional leaders have only played against each other 18 times. Each team has nine wins apiece. Their last matchup was in 2017 and the Seahawks won that game 24 to 7. Seattle has won four in a row in this series.
The Seahawks are 5-3 at home all-time against the Giants and have won five of the last six meetings when hosting the “G-men.”
The spread opened with Seattle favored by seven points. Since then, it has gone up to a line of -10 for the Seahawks with most NFL betting sites. The Over/Under opened at 46.5 total points with most online betting sites and it hasn’t changed since then.
I’m never eager to jump on a double digit spread, but I couldn’t pass up on this one. There are a lot of factors lining up in Seattle’s favor that have me believing the Seahawks could win by at least two touchdowns.
First, the Giants could be without starting QB Daniel Jones who is dealing with a hamstring injury that he suffered in last weekend’s game against the Bengals. If he can’t play then Colt McCoy will get the start.
Even with Jones, I didn’t think the Giants could win at Seattle, let alone cover a 7 point spread. Now, possibly without Jones, I don’t see New York covering a 10 point spread.
Defensively, the Giants are underrated as they currently have the 10th ranked defense overall. New York is 5th against the run which will cause trouble for Seattle on Sunday. However, the Giants are 19th against the pass as they allow 263.5 passing ypg.
That’s going to be trouble for the Giants as Seattle has one of the best passing attacks in the league as they average 292.4 passing ypg. I believe this is where the Seahawks will have the most success at this weekend and it will ultimately be why they score most of their points.
On the flip side, the Giants have an anemic passing attack going up against the worst pass defense in the league statistically. New York averages 216.7 passing ypg and the Seahawks allow 342.9 passing ypg.
With that said, things have changed dramatically for Seattle’s defense over the last few weeks. Most notably, the pass rush has come alive as they’ve tallied 19 sacks since Week 9 which is the most in the league.
Defensive lineman Carlos Dunlap is paying off huge dividends since Seattle traded for him in late-October. Additionally, safety Jamal Adams is finally healthy after missing several games and the team’s top corner Shaquill Griffin has returned after missing four games.
The Giants don’t have the firepower to hang in a shootout and they don’t have the defense to stop Seattle’s air attack. Watch for the Seahawks to get after whichever QB starts for the Giants and for this game to become a blowout by the mid-point of the 3rd quarter.
On the season, the Giants are averaging 19.5ppg and the Seahawks are averaging 31ppg. New York allows 23ppg and Seattle allows 27.6ppg. However, Seattle has only allowed 20.3ppg over the last three weeks as their defense has gotten healthier.
In the last three head to head meetings, Seattle has gone 3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS and outscored the Giants by an average of 20ppg. Seattle averaged 28.33ppg and New York averaged 8ppg.
I see this weekend’s matchup being similar as I am taking Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks to crush the Giants by the score of 27 to 13.
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