NFC East Rivalry Game: Washington vs Dallas Odds and Prediction
On Thursday, football fans will be treated to a bitter NFC East game that is one of the most revered rivalries in the sport as Washington travels to Texas to take on the Dallas Cowboys. In addition to the mutual hate for each other, this game will also be for first place in the division. Kickoff inside AT&T Stadium is at 4:30 PM ET.
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Washington vs Dallas Live Odds and Betting History
The following odds are courtesy of our Live Odds feed:
|Betting Data||Washington Redskins||Dallas Cowboys|
|Current S/U record||6-4||5-5|
|2018 ATS Home||4-2||2-2|
|2018 ATS Away||3-1||3-3|
|2018 O/U Home||3-3||3-1|
|2018 O/U Away||1-3||1-5|
Washington vs Dallas NFC East Game Preview
Thursday’s matchup marks the 118th time these two teams have played against each other. Currently, the Cowboys hold the advantage in this rivalry with a record of 70-45-2. Washington won the first matchup between these teams this year. However, prior to that game, Dallas had won 4 straight and 8 of the last 11.
Washington (6-4) is 3-1 on the road this year and currently sits atop of the NFC East division. Unfortunately, they lost starting QB Alex Smith to a broken leg this past weekend. Colt McCoy came into the game and almost led the team to victory, but fell short. The team is rallying around McCoy, but it’s definitely going to be a challenge playing without their leader in a hostile environment.
Dallas (5-5) is 3-1 at home and comes into this matchup having won two straight games. Last weekend, they kicked a FG at the end of the game to defeat the Falcons on the road. This week, Dallas is looking to take advantage of a Washington team in transition from Alex Smith to McCoy. Furthermore, Dallas now has Amari Cooper who they didn’t have in their first battle against Washington on October 21st.
The Cowboys opened as the favorite in this matchup, but the spread ranged from 5.5 to 9 points depending on which online betting site you visited. Currently, most sportsbooks have the Cowboys as a 7.5 point favorite over Washington. The Over/Under opened between 40 and 41 points depending on the online sportsbooks. Currently, the O/U sits at 40.5 total points with most betting sites.
Free NFL Total Bet and Game Prediction: Over 40.5 Points
The big question mark for this game surrounds the play of Washington’s offense without Alex Smith at QB. Backup QB Colt McCoy came in and nearly led Washington to victory over Houston last weekend, but that doesn’t necessarily mean he will be able to have similar success on the road in Dallas.
Both of these teams come in averaging similar numbers on offense, but Washington will need to rely on their running game more without Alex Smith until McCoy can establish a rhythm with this team. With that said, it’s not like Dak Prescott is lighting up the box scores with his passing attack. Dallas is only averaging 213.8 passing ypg, which is 10 ypg below Washington.
The reality is, these are two teams that like to run the ball and use play action passes. Dallas averages 133.3 rushing ypg and Washington averages 121.5 rushing ypg. However, their defenses only give up 95 ypg on the ground. So, this is going to be a tough game for either team to really establish a consistent running game.
Defensively, both teams allow roughly 19 ppg. However, Washington has given up 26 more ypg on defense than Dallas at 374.5 ypg to 348.2 ypg.
I’m not comfortable with this spread at all. If McCoy can play as well as Smith, or close enough, then Washington will easily cover. However, if he doesn’t then Dallas will win in a blowout. The moneylines don’t offer much value especially with Dallas at -350. So, we have the Total that seems like the smart bet for this Thanksgiving matchup.
One way or another, these two teams seem to find a way to combine for nearly 50 points per game when playing against each other. In their last 10 head-to-head meetings, these two teams combine to score 48.5 total points per game. Additionally, in the last 6 meetings, the Over has gone 5-1. The Over is also 4-2 in the last 6 meetings played in Dallas.
For Washington, the Over is 6-1 in their last 7 Thursday games and 8-3 in their last 11 November games. For Dallas the Over is 4-2 in their last 6 home games and 5-1 in their last 6 Week 12 games.
This is going to be a tough NFC East battle, which I expect to climb above the 40 point threshold. Dallas has averaged 24 ppg over their last 5 and Washington has averaged 18.2 ppg, which is a combined total of 42.2 ppg. Dallas also averages 25 ppg at home on the year, while Washington averages 19.75 ppg on the road. Once again, the combined total is 44.75 ppg. I expect Dallas to score at least 25 points at home and for Washington to make another failed attempt at a comeback. Dallas wins 27-20.
Washington vs Dallas Betting Recap:
- Oddsmaker: BetOnline
- Moneylines: Washington (+290) and Dallas (-350)
- Spread: Dallas -7.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: 40.5 total points (-110)
- Prediction: Dallas 24 – Washington 17
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