NFC North Battle: Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Odds and Prediction

By Rick Rockwell in NFL on November 20, 2018

5

Minute Read

The first Thanksgiving game features a bruising battle between the Chicago Bears and the Detroit Lions. The Bears sit atop of the NFC North, while the Lions are desperately trying to stay in contention for a Wild Card spot. Can Chicago extend their winning streak to 5 straight games or will the Lions get revenge on the Bears for a Week 10 loss in Chicago? Kickoff inside Ford Field is at 12:30 PM ET.

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Bears vs Lions Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of our Live Odds feed:

Betting Data Chicago Bears Detroit Lions
Current S/U record 7-3 4-6
2018 Home 5-1 3-2
2018 Away 2-2 1-4
2018 ATS 7-3 6-4
2018 ATS Home 5-1 3-2
2018 ATS Away 2-2 3-2
2018 O/U 7-3 6-4
2018 O/U Home 4-2 2-3
2018 O/U Away 3-1 4-1

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions NFC North Preview

This matchup is one of the oldest rivalries in NFL history as Thursday’s game marks the 178th time these two teams have played against each other. Chicago has a commanding lead in the series with an all-time record of 98-74-5. Prior to the Bears winning two weeks ago, the Lions had won 3 straight. Over the last 10 head-to-head games, Detroit has gone 8-2.

Chicago (7-3) is coming off a solid win over the Vikings to extend their NFC North lead to 1 ½ games. The Bears haven’t lost since playing New England 5 weeks ago. Since then, they have looked good on both sides of the ball and are poised to make a run at the division crown. For that to happen, they will need to vanquish the Lions on Thursday.

Detroit (4-6) snapped a 3 game losing streak by defeating the Carolina Panthers on Sunday. However, it should be noted that the Panthers went for a 2-point conversion at the end of the game instead of kicking the extra point and going into OT. Detroit was able to stop the conversion and win the game. This weekend, they’re going to have a tough time preventing that Bears defense from wreaking havoc on their offense. Can the Lions pull off a big Turkey Day upset?

For most sportsbooks, the spread was between 3 and 4 points in favor of the Bears. Depending on which online betting site you use, the current spread is 4 points in favor of Chicago. The Over/Under opened between 44.5 and 46.5 points with most betting sites. Currently, the O/U sits at 46 total points with the majority of online sportsbooks.

Free NFL Sports Bet and Game Prediction: Bears -4 Points

The Bears defense seems to be heating up at the right time. In their last game, they caused problems for Minnesota all game long and look poised to continue that carnage this week. When they played the Lions two weeks ago, Chicago took a 34-10 lead into the 4th quarter before the Lions scored 12 points in garbage time to make the score 34-22.

Chicago held the Lions offense to 305 total yards, forced 3 turnovers and got 6 sacks on Stafford. I expect more of the same this week. Chicago’s defense only allows 77.8 rushing yards per game and Detroit only totals about 100 ypg on the ground. The Bears will make the Lions into a one-dimensional offense again as they did two weeks ago when they held the Lions to 75 rushing yards. I believe we will see more of this on Thursday.

For the Lions, they will try to limit the Bears offense to less than 30 points, but that might also prove to be difficult. Although Detroit played well against Carolina last weekend, the Bears seem to have a more explosive offense than Carolina. Chicago is averaging 29.4 ppg on the year and 31 ppg over their last 5 games. Detroit gives up 26.3 ppg, but gives up 384.7 total ypg and at least 125 rushing ypg. Chicago loves to run the ball with Howard and Cohen as they average 122.9 ypg.

Detroit’s offense only scores 22.2 ppg and that’s not going to be enough to win this game against Chicago. Furthermore, Marvin Jones and Kerryon Johnson are going to be banged up for this game if they can even play at all.

I don’t like Detroit’s chances on Thursday. If Chicago’s moneyline was lower than -195, I would say hop on it. I’m also not confident in the Over/Under as it’s not clear how many points the Lions will score on Thursday. The safe bet is the Bears covering the 4 points spread.

Chicago is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS this year when a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. The Bears are 7-3 ATS this year, 6-2 ATS as a favorite this year, 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 November games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 divisional games, 6-1 ATS against teams with a losing record, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against the NFC.

Detroit is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 against Chicago, 5-8 ATS when an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5, 0-4 ATS in last 4 home games against teams with winning road records, 4-10 ATS against teams with winning records, and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 Week 12 games.

I believe the Chicago defense is going to keep the Lions in check. However, I can see them scoring some more garbage time points this week and making the score seem closer than the game really is. Take the Bears with confidence to cover the spread.

Bears vs Lions Betting Recap:

  • Oddsmaker: BetOnline
  • Moneylines: Chicago (-195) and Detroit (+170)
  • Spread: Bears -4 (-112)
  • Over/Under: 46 total points (-110)
  • Prediction: Bears 30 – Lions 24
Pick: Bears -4
-112

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Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site.

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