On Sunday, September 15th, NFC North powerhouses the Minnesota Vikings and the Green Bay Packers will battle it out on the gridiron for early divisional supremacy. The Packers look to win consecutive games within the division while the Vikings look to dominate with their defense once again. Kickoff inside Lambeau Field is at 1 PM ET.
The following odds are courtesy of our live odds tool:
|2019 ATS Home||1-0||0-0|
|2019 ATS Away||0-0||1-0|
|2019 O/U Home||0-1||0-0|
|2019 O/U Away||0-0||0-1|
Sunday’s game will be the 118th time these two teams have played in what’s loosely referred to as the “border battle.” The Packers hold the all-time advantage with a 60-54-3 record. Last year, Green Bay went 0-1-1 against Minnesota as the two teams tied at Lambeau Field.
In the last seven head to head meetings, Minnesota has taken control of the rivalry with a 5-1-1 record. However, Green Bay is 32-25-3 all-time and 9-4-2 in the last 15 games at home.
Minnesota (1-0) dominated the Atlanta Falcons last week and looked like a much improved team from their 2018 season. The running game was explosive behind a healthy Cook and the front seven of the defense controlled the line of scrimmage all game long.
The Vikings didn’t even need a passing game in their season opener against the Falcons as they were able to run the ball at-will. This weekend might be different as the Packers look to make Kirk Cousins beat them.
Green Bay (1-0) also had an extremely impressive defensive performance as they held the Chicago Bears to just three points and won the game via 10 to 3. The Packers went into Chicago and completely shut down a high octane offense. They will look to continue that trend this weekend against Minnesota.
The Packers will also look to get their offense going against a tough divisional opponent who shut down Atlanta’s high flying passing attack last weekend. Can Aaron Rodgers and the Packers’ offense score more than 10 points this week?
The majority of NFL betting sites opened the spread at -3 points in favor of the Packers. It’s only come down slightly to 2.5 points in favor of Green Bay. The Over/Under opened at 45.5 points, but most online betting sites have dropped that down to 43 total points.
This game will be all about Minnesota’s defense against the Green Bay offense. And, I like the Vikings chances in this one.
The Vikings gave up 377 yards to the Atlanta Falcons, but that was largely due to the Falcons playing from behind. Minnesota was up 21 to 0 heading into the 4th quarter when they took the foot off the gas pedal and allowed Atlanta to score 12 points. The Falcons kept firing the ball down field with desperate attempts to score.
The Vikings forced three turnovers against Atlanta and that will be key for this game as well. If Minnesota can duplicate what the Bears did, with five sacks, then they will have a great shot at winning.
The Packers offense was very pedestrian against the Bears as they only totaled 213 yards. Rodgers was harassed all game along and had just 203 passing yards with one TD. Furthermore, the rushing attack had just 47 yards on 22 attempts. Neither output will get the job done on Sunday against the Vikings.
Green Bay’s defense could be the wildcard in this game just like last week. They held the Bears offense to 254 total yards, forced an interception, and only allowed three points on the road. A similar performance like that and Green Bay will win at home this Sunday.
The Vikings are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against Green Bay, 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games during September, and 15-6 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.
The Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last five divisional games, 4-9 ATS in the division over the last two seasons, 7-9 ATS in their last 16 home games, and 9-15 ATS in their last 24 games against the NFC.
This weekend, I like the Vikings to win outright. However, I’m taking the +2.5 points to be on the safe side just in case there’s any Lambeau Field trickery.
The Vikings offensive line looks better than what Chicago rolled out last week against the Packers. Furthermore, that Minnesota rushing attack is dominant. They have a strong passing game to call on when needed with two All-Pro receivers in Thielen and Diggs. If the Packers stack the box then look for Minnesota to exploit the one on one matchups.
Defensively, the Vikings are impressive. They have a shutdown corner in Rhodes who can take Green Bay’s top receiver Adams out of the game. Furthermore, the front seven will get after Rodgers four all four quarters and shut down an already questionable running game.
I don’t think that the Packers will be able to score enough points this weekend to beat Minnesota. And, I don’t see Green Bay winning another defensive battle. Take the “Purple People Eaters” to stroll into Lambeau and devour the cheese heads. If you can find the spread at +3 points for Minnesota at other online betting sites then jump all over it.
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