Week 7 features an NFC South battle as the New Orleans Saints host the Carolina Panthers. Both teams are looking to keep pace with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for the top spot in the division.
The Saints are coming off a Bye Week and get their prolific receiver Michael Thomas back. Carolina is hoping to keep up with the Saints in what could be a high scoring game. Kickoff inside the Mercedes-Benz Superdome is at 1PM ET.
The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:
|Carolina Panthers||+9 (-131)||+280||Over 51.5 (-110)|
|New Orleans Saints||-9 (+111)||-350||Under 51.5 (-110)|
|Betting Data||Carolina Panthers||New Orleans Saints|
|2020 ATS Home||1-2||1-2|
|2020 ATS Away||2-1||1-1|
|2020 O/U Home||1-1-1||3-0|
|2020 O/U Away||1-2||2-0|
These two divisional rivals have played against each other 51 total times with the Saints holding the slight edge at 26-25. The Saints swept the Panthers in 2019 and are looking to do the same this year.
The spread opened with the Saints favored by 6.5 points. It has climbed up to 9 points in favor of New Orleans with most NFL betting sites. The Over/Under opened at 51 points and has gone up slightly to 51.5 total points with most online betting sites.
The Panthers have been a pleasant surprise this season with a 3-3 record despite many critics, including myself, picking Carolina to have one of the worst records this year.
Teddy Bridgewater has done a great job with this offense as it’s actually putting up more total yards per game than the Saints at 396.2 to 388.8 ypg.
In fact, Teddy B. has outplayed Drew Brees this year so far. Of course, that can all change now that Michael Thomas is back. I expect this New Orleans offense to get back to scoring 30+ ppg and throwing the ball more effectively.
Thomas’ return will also open up the field more for Alvin Kamara who has been great this year so far. He has 676 total yards, 38 receptions and 7 total TDs in five games.
The Panthers allow 121.7 rushing ypg, which is good news for Kamara. Yet, their secondary is only giving up 223.8 passing ypg. However, they will be tested this week with the return of Thomas.
Even with inconsistent play, the Saints defense is only allowing 355.5 total ypg. However, they are giving up 30 ppg which is uncharacteristic of this secondary. Perhaps, the Bye Week gave New Orleans enough time to fix some of their defensive issues.
I’m conflicted with the spread, but I really do like the Over in this contest. Combined, they’re averaging 53.6 ppg on the season. Over the last 10 head to head games, these two teams have averaged 54.2 ppg.
Furthermore, the Over is 8-2 in the last 10 head to head meetings and 7-0 in the last seven games at New Orleans.
For the Saints, the Over is 5-1 in their last six NFC games. Carolina has seen the Over go 4-1 in their last five NFC South games and 5-0 on the season.
I see the Saints putting up over 30.6 points in this contest and for Carolina to have some success against this inconsistent secondary. In the end, I expect these teams to go over 52 total points.
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