NFL Betting Preview: Cowboys vs Colts Odds and Free Prediction

By Rick Rockwell in NFL on December 13, 2018

On Sunday, two teams battling for playoff spots will take the field in a quest for victory as the Dallas Cowboys head north to Indianapolis to take on the Colts. Dallas has a commanding lead in the NFC East division and look to move up the NFC pecking order for the playoffs.

The Colts are tied with multiple teams in a battle for the final AFC wild card spot. Can Andrew Luck crack the code of this elite Cowboys defense? Kickoff inside Lucas Oil Stadium is at 1 PM ET.

Cowboys vs Colts Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of Live Odds feed:

Betting Data Dallas Cowboys Indianapolis Colts
Current S/U record 8-5 7-6
2018 Home 6-1 4-2
2018 Away 2-4 3-4
2018 ATS 8-5 6-6-1
2018 ATS Home 5-3 2-3-1
2018 ATS Away 3-3 4-3
2018 O/U 6-7 6-7
2018 O/U Home 5-2 3-3
2018 O/U Away 1-5 3-4

Dallas vs Indianapolis NFL Game Preview

Sunday’s matchup marks the 17th time these two teams have played against each other. Currently, the Cowboys lead the series with a 10-6 record. Dallas has won the last three games against the Colts, including a 38-35 victory in Indy during the 2010 season.

Dallas (8-5) has won 5 straight games including an OT victory over the Eagles last weekend. The Cowboys have one of the league’s best defenses and has proven this by shutting down great offenses like the New Orleans Saints.

They will face a surging Colts team led by Andrew Luck who hopes to return to the playoffs this year.

The Colts (7-6) are 4-2 at home and earned a big divisional victory last weekend by defeating the Texans 24-21. Indy has won 6 of their last 7 games and are in a position to make the postseason if they can win the rest of their games this season and a few other teams lose.

Indy is tied with the Ravens, Dolphins, and Titans for the final AFC playoff spot.

The Colts opened as a 3 point favorite with most online betting sites. Currently, the spread has come down slightly to 2.5 points. The Over/Under opened at 47 total points with most internet sportsbooks and it has remained unchanged.

Free NFL Sports Bet and Game Prediction: Colts -3.0

This Sunday’s game will be a true test for the Colts to see if they really are a playoff contender or just another AFC pretender. Indy has come on strong over the last two months and are on the cusp of a postseason birth, provided they can win this weekend and the final two games afterward.

However, they’re hosting a Dallas Cowboys team that is on a 5-game winning streak and look like a completely different team after trading for wide receiver Amari Cooper.

Not only have the Cowboys improved offensively, but their defense has also taken another step toward becoming one of the league’s best. According to NFL.com, the Cowboys are 4th in Total Defense as they allow just 313.4 ypg.

Furthermore, they’re 3rd in the NFL against the run as they allow just 86.8 ypg, and they are 2nd in the league allowing only 18.9 ppg.

However, their one weakness has been against the pass, where they allow 242.7 ypg. This bodes well for Andrew Luck and the Colts offense that ranks 6th in passing yards at 279.8 ypg. Colts QB Andrew Luck has 3,759 passing yards, which is good for 5th in the NFL.

His 34 passing TDs are good for 2nd in the NFL behind Mahomes. Luck also has 530 passing attempts, which is 2nd in the league behind Big Ben. The Colts offense clearly depends on the throwing arm and quick decisions that Luck makes every play.

The Colts defense has played well over the last month. They held Houston to just 315 total yards last weekend and they also held the Jaguars and the Titans to a combined total of 16 points. They will be a tough challenge for Dallas QB Dak Prescott who averages a little over 200 passing ypg on the road and has 4 TDs to 4 INTs.

Ezekiel Elliott has also struggled on the road with a little more than 90 rushing ypg and just 4 total touchdowns. It’s no surprise that the Cowboys are 2-4 on the road after looking at how poorly the offense has played away from their home.

With that in mind, I like the Colts to win this game. The Colts are 5-1 SU when a home favorite of 3 points or less, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against the NFC, 2-0 SU following a divisional win, 6-1 SU in their last 7 overall games, 4-1 SU in their last 5 home games, and 4-0 ATS versus teams with winning records.

Dallas is 0-3 SU when a road underdog of 3 points or less, 5-7 ATS when playing winning teams in the second half of the regular season, 9-10 ATS when playing against winning teams, and 1-2 SU against the AFC South.

In head-to-head battles, the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the home team is 4-1 ATS over the last 5 meetings. Both of those stats also favor the Colts.

I believe the Colts will win the game outright, but I do think it will be close. It could actually come down to a field goal at the end of the game. With that said, I like the Colts moneyline of -144 in this game.

I’m not comfortable with the spread or the points total due to how well Dallas’ defense has been playing. Additionally, the Colts have played well at home this season and could pull out an inspired defensive performance as well.

I think both defenses will contain the rushing attacks and this game will come down to whichever QB can make the most plays. In that case, I like Andrew Luck at home over Prescott on the road.

Cowboys vs Colts Betting Recap:

  • Oddsmaker: BetOnline
  • Moneylines: Cowboys (+124) and Colts (-144)
  • Spread: Colts -3.0 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 47 total points (-110)
  • Prediction: Colts 21 – Cowboys 20
Pick: Colts -3.0
-110

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Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site.

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