On Sunday, two divisional leaders will battle it out with playoff implications on the line. The visiting Pittsburgh Steelers hope to remain atop the AFC North, while the hosting New Orleans Saints look to keep their top seed in the NFC and best record in the NFL.
Can the Saints protect their home turf? Kickoff inside the Mercedes-Benz Stadium is at 4:25 PM ET.
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The following odds are courtesy of live odds feed:
New Orleans Saints
Current S/U record
2018 ATS Home
2018 ATS Away
2018 O/U Home
2018 O/U Away
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans NFL Game Preview
Sunday’s game will be the 16th time these two teams have played against each other. Currently, the New Orleans Saints hold the advantage in this head-to-head series with an 8-7 record. The Saints have won 3 of the last 4 meetings, including the last two matchups.
The last time the Steelers visited New Orleans was in 2010 and the Saints won that game 20-10. The Saints are 5-4 all-time against the Steelers at home.
Pittsburgh (8-5-1) is coming off a solid victory over the New England Patriots, which stopped a three game losing streak as the Steelers were freefalling out of the top spot in the AFC North. Now, Pittsburgh has a solid chance at winning the division, but will need a big win on the road to accomplish that.
Currently, the Steelers are 4-2-1 on the road and will give the Saints all they can handle on Sunday.
The Saints (12-2) are coming off a tough MNF football win over divisional rival the Carolina Panthers who were trying to keep their playoff hopes alive. New Orleans was able to grind out the win and show the rest of the NFL that they are mentally and physically tough.
The Saints have the best record in football and have already clinched the NFC South division. They look to clinch home field throughout the playoffs by winning this weekend and next.
This spread has been all over the place. Depending on which NFL betting site you shop at, the spread opened anywhere from -5 to -7 in favor of the Saints.
Currently, most internet sportsbooks have the Saints favored by 5.5 points. The Over/Under opened as high as 57.5 points before quickly coming down to the current O/U of 53.5 total points with most NFL sportsbooks.
Free NFL Sports Bet and Game Prediction: New Orleans -5.5
This game is going to be an exciting battle between two of the league’s top offenses.
Pittsburgh comes into this matchup 4th in the NFL with 405.8 total ypg according to NFL.com. They’re also 3rd in the NFL with 311.9 passing ypg and 5th overall in scoring at 27.4 ppg.
The Saints are 2nd in the league in scoring at 32.8 ppg. New Orleans is 7th in total yards at 385.9 total ypg, 11th in passing at 258.5 ypg, and 8th in rushing at 127.4 ypg.
Surprisingly, these defense have also turned it on over the course of the year as Pittsburgh is 6th against the run (96.9 ypg) and the Saints are the best against the run at (79.1 ypg). The Saints are #7 in points allowed at 20.9 ppg and the Steelers are 15th at 22.6 ppg.
Both teams are susceptible against the pass and that could be trouble as the Steelers and the Saints can throw the ball up and down the field with very capable QB’s and talented wide receivers.
After watching both teams all year long, it’s hard to go against the Saints at home where they are 4-2 ATS this year and 17-6 SU over the last few seasons.
Furthermore, the Saints are 9-4 ATS and 11-2 SU when the total is at least 49.5 points or more, 7-2 ATS and 8-1 SU when playing on 6 days or less, 6-2 ATS and 7-1 SU in dome games this year, 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS when playing on turf this year, 7-4 SU in their last 11 December games, 8-1 ATS after winning at least two games in a row, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record, and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 overall games.
The Steelers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 overall games, 0-2 ATS when an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points, 3-3 ATS in 6 road games this year, 5-7 ATS in their last 12 December games, and 4-5 ATS in the last 4 weeks of the regular season.
I believe the Saints will control the game with the best duo of running backs in the league – Kamara and Ingram. Although Pittsburgh has fared well overall this year against the run, both of these backs are also very dangerous out of the backfield. Kamara is a weapon that I don’t see Pittsburgh being able to slow down.
Conversely, whether James Conner plays or not against the Saints, I don’t see Pittsburgh having much success on the ground. The only way the Steelers will be able to contend for the victory is by throwing the ball a lot. Don’t be surprised if Big Ben ends up with at least 45 pass attempts this game.
The Saints moneyline of -260 doesn’t offer any value and the O/U of 53.5 total points is a hard one to predict considering the Steelers’ recent road woes at Oakland and Denver. In fact, over their last 3 road games, the Steelers have averaged just under 20 ppg.
That won’t be enough to defeat the Saints who will score near 30 points at home and win by at least a touchdown.
As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...
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