NFL Sports Bet: Saints vs Bengals Odds, Pick and Predictions

by Rick Rockwell
on November 10, 2018
5

Minute Read

On Sunday, we have an intriguing matchup of two winning teams as the New Orleans Saints hit the road to take on the Cincinnati Bengals. The Saints have established themselves as the top team in the NFC, while the Bengals are in the thick of the AFC Playoff race. Will the Saints continue their ascension to the top of the NFL or will the Bengals get their best win of the season to date? Kickoff inside Paul Brown Stadium is at 1 PM ET.

Saints vs Bengals Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of our live odds feed:

Betting Data New Orleans Saints Cincinnati Bengals
Current S/U record 7-1 5-3
2018 Home 3-1 3-1
2018 Away 4-0 2-2
2018 ATS 6-2 4-4
2018 ATS Home 2-2 2-2
2018 ATS Away 4-0 2-2
2018 O/U 4-4 5-3
2018 O/U Home 3-1 2-2
2018 O/U Away 1-3 3-1

New Orleans vs Cincinnati NFL Game Preview

The Saints and the Bengals have faced off against each other on 13 occasions. Currently, the Bengals lead the all-time series with a 7-6 record. The Bengals have won 4 of the last 5 games in this series including 2 of the last 3 games in Cincinnati.

New Orleans (7-1) is undefeated on the road at 4-0 and looks to keep that road winning streak alive. The Saints just toppled the Rams last weekend and are riding into town on a 7 game win streak. New Orleans hasn’t lost since their opening season blunder to Tampa. Can the Saints extend their winning streak to 8 games and go 5-0 on the road?

Cincinnati (5-3) is 3-1 at home and is coming off a bye week after a high scoring win over the Buccaneers two weeks ago. The Bengals snapped a 2 game slide and hope to play a solid game on Sunday without their top receiver AJ Green who will be out with an injury. Can the Bengals slow down this high powered Saints offense and pull off the big upset?

The majority of online betting sites opened with the Saints favored by 4 to 4.5 points. Since then, the spread has gone up to 5.5 points in favor of the Saints with most books. The Over/Under opened at 54.5 to 55 total points with the majority of online sportsbooks, but it has come down slightly to 54 total points.

Free NFL Spread Bet and Game Prediction: New Orleans -5.5

The Saints boast of one of the best offenses in the entire NFL. New Orleans is #7 in total yards per game (402), #2 in scoring at 34.9 ppg, and #7 in passing ypg (289.8). They put up 45 points against the previously undefeated Rams last weekend and have cemented their spot at the top of the NFC for now.

Saints QB Drew Brees is having one of the best seasons of his career. Brees is averaging 298.8 passing ypg and has 18 TD throws compared to just 1 interception. In half of the games this year, Brees threw for 346 yards or more. He also has one near-400 yard passing game and one game of 439 passing yards.

Another reason why the Saints offense has been so successful is because of running back Alvin Kamara. The electric playmaker has 461 rushing yards, 7 rushing TDs, 42 receptions for 315 receiving yards and 2 TDs. He’s averaging close to 100 total yards and 1 TD per game. Last weekend, Kamara put up 116 total yards and 3 touchdowns. This weekend, he goes up against a Bengals defense that gives up 128.4 rushing yards per game. I expect Kamara and his backfield partner Mark Ingram to combine for a big game on the ground.

The Bengals defense also allows 29.6 ppg and 459.1 total yards per game. They give up more yards than any other defense in the league. They also give up the most passing yards in the NFL. When you look at this defense and match it up with the offense that’s rolling into town, the game could get ugly real quick.

Furthermore, the Bengals won’t have AJ Green this weekend. QB Dalton’s top playmaker suffered a toe injury and will be out for multiple weeks. Without Green, an already poor offense gets a whole lot worse. The Saints defense is one of the best in the NFL at stopping the run, only giving up 76.4 ypg. So, Bengals RB Joe Mixon won’t be able to carry this Cincy offense on Sunday.

The more I think about it, I just don’t see how the Bengals have any shot at winning this game. Cincy is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games, 1-4 ATS when the total is above 49 points, 4-7 ATS versus the NFC, 5-11 SU when playing against winning teams, and 1-7 SU when an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

The Saints are 6-2 ATS this year, 14-5 ATS in their last 19 road games, 8-3 ATS in games where the total is over 49 points, 11-4 ATS after winning 2 or more games in a row, 13-6 ATS when playing against teams with a winning record, and 5-2 ATS this season when playing games on field turf.

I believe it’s a “lock” for the Saints to win this game, but I don’t like the -255 moneyline as it offers no value. The Over/Under of 54 total points is a potential wager, but there’s no guarantee that the Bengals will help the Saints cross the 55 point threshold.

The best bet for this game is the Saints covering the spread of 5.5 points (-110). I believe New Orleans is going to put up 30+ points this week and stifle the Bengals on offense especially without AJ Green. Take the Saints -5.5 points and bet with confidence.

Saints vs Bengals Betting Recap:

  • Oddsmaker: BetOnline
  • Moneylines: Saints (-255) and Bengals (+215)
  • Spread: Saints -5.5 points (-110)
  • Over/Under: 54 total points (-105)
  • Prediction: Saints 37 – Bengals 20
Pick: New Orleans -5.5
-110

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