These two franchise have played against each other 34 times and they’ve each won 17 games apiece. However, it’s the Colts who have gone 8-1 in the last nine matchups. The Browns are 7-10 in home games versus Indy.
The Indianapolis Colts (3-1) have won three straight games since their opening season meltdown against Jacksonville. They look great on defense while the offense is still a work in progress. Nevertheless, Indy is shaping up to be one of the best teams in the AFC as they’re looking to win their 4th straight game.
The Cleveland Browns (3-1) have surprised many with their early season success especially after their blowout loss to the Ravens in Week 1. Cleveland has won three straight games and put up 49 points on the Cowboys last weekend. Can the Browns pull off their biggest win of the season to date?
Head to Head Betting Trends
Colts are 8-1 SU in last nine meetings
Browns are 5-4 ATS in last nine games
The Under is 5-4 in last nine matchups
Colts are 2-4 ATS in last six meetings
Browns are 0-5 SU in last five home contests
Indianapolis Colts Betting Trends
16-5 SU in last 21 games as the favorite
8-4 SU when playing against a winning team
33-9 SU when a road favorite of 3 pts or less
9-3 ATS when playing against a winning team
9-5 ATS when a favorite of +3 to -3 pts
4-2 ATS in last six overall games
5-1 ATS in last six October games
The Under is 5-2 in last seven overall games
The Over is 4-2 in last six AFC games
The Over is 4-2 in last six AFC North games
Cleveland Browns Betting Trends
6-1 SU in last seven home games
1-8 SU in last nine Week 5 through Week 9 games
4-10 SU when playing against a winning team
7-13 in last 20 games as the underdog
4-9 ATS when playing against a winning team
2-5 ATS in last seven overall games
1-5 ATS in last six AFC games
1-5 ATS in last six AFC South games
The Over is 4-1 in last five overall games
The Under is 4-1 in last five Week 5 games
The Colts opened as the favorite with odds ranging from -2 to -2.5 points. Currently, Indy is favored by 2.5 points with most NFL betting sites. The Over/Under opened at 47 total points and remains at that mark despite some up and down movement with online betting sites.
Free NFL Sports Bet and Game Prediction: Indianapolis Colts (-140)
Last weekend, the Browns played against a Dallas team that has no defense especially in the secondary. Cleveland took advantage of that with their best performance in the first month of the season as they scored 49 points, but they did allow 38 points to the Cowboys.
Now, the Browns go from playing one of the worst defenses to playing arguably the best defense in the NFL. The Colts lead the NFL in many categories including points allowed at just 14ppg. In three straight games, the Colts have held their opponents to 11 points or less.
Furthermore, Indy is one of the best defenses against the pass (175.8 ypg) and the run (77 ypg), which puts them right near the top of the league in total yards allowed at 252.8 ypg. In other words, it’s going to be really hard for Cleveland to find success on Sunday.
Cleveland’s defense gives up 423.3 total ypg, 31.5 ppg, and 331.5 passing ypg which bodes well for a Colts offense that has big play potential. Their passing game hasn’t reach full potential yet, but the running game has performed well over the last three weeks.
The Colts defense has a way of shutting down opposing offenses and I see that happening this weekend as well. Indy will make life miserable for Cleveland QB Baker Mayfield and they will take away the Browns’ main offensive threat which is their running game.
Furthermore, Indy has the secondary to keep Cleveland receivers Odell Beckham Jr. and Jarvis Landry in check for all four quarters.
I’m really surprised by this spread, but I’m even more surprised at the lower moneyline (-140) for the Colts. They’re clearly the better team between these two AFC foes and they will prove that on Sunday.
Cleveland is 4-10 SU when playing against a winning team and 7-13 in their last 20 games as the underdog. The Colts are 16-5 SU in their last 21 games as the favorite, 8-4 SU when playing against a winning team, and 33-9 SU when a road favorite of 3 pts or less.
I expect Indy to shut down this high octane Cleveland offense by stuffing the run and pressuring Mayfield in passing downs. They will put the Browns behind the sticks for most of the game, which is where Cleveland struggles.
Offensively, I like Indy to air it out and mix in the run. Look for Rivers to flirt with 300 passing yards while his passing weapons like TE Alie-Cox benefit from a leaky Browns pass defense.
This week’s game could be similar to the Colts vs Bears matchup where Indy was ahead all game long and won 19-11. I see Indy taking the lead early and riding their defense the rest of the game. Cleveland could score a late TD to make the game seem more competitive on the scoreboard, but it never will be.
As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...
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