Packers vs Bears TNF Betting Preview, Odds and Pick

By Rick Rockwell in NFL on September 3, 2019

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Minute Read

On Thursday, September 5th, the 100th season of the National Football League kicks off with the sport’s oldest rivalry as the Green Bay Packers take on the Chicago Bears. Not only are these two teams expected to fight for the NFC North Division title, but they’re also both fighting for NFC supremacy. Will the Bears repeat as division champs or will the Packers return to divisional glory? Kickoff for the Packers vs Bears game inside Soldier Field is at 8:20 PM ET.

Packers vs Bears Betting History

Betting Data Green Bay Packers Chicago Bears
2019 Preseason Record 2-2 1-3
2018 Home 5-2-1 7-2
2018 Away 1-7 5-3
2018 ATS 6-9-1 12-5
2018 ATS Home 4-4 7-2
2018 ATS Away 2-5-1 5-3
2018 O/U 8-8 8-9
2018 O/U Home 4-4 4-5
2018 O/U Away 24-4 4-4

Green Bay vs Chicago TNF Week 1 Game Preview

It should come as no surprise that these two teams have played against each other nearly 200 times in their illustrious history. Green Bay holds the slight advantage with a 97-95-6 record. With that said, Green Bay has dominated this rivalry in recent years.

Since 2009, the Packers have gone 17-4 against the Bears including a playoff victory in 2011. That marked just the second time these two teams have played against each other in the postseason. The Packers have also won five of the last six overall games in this head-to-head rivalry.

Green Bay (0-0) is coming off a down season where they finished 6-9-1 on the year. Since then, the Packers have hired a new coach, added more pieces on the defense, and bolstered their offensive line. However, like every other season, this team will go as far as franchise QB Aaron Rodgers can take them.

Rodgers will have plenty of weapons this season, but will they all be on the same page? Last year, the young receivers were too inconsistent. This year, they’ve all appeared to mature during the offseason.

Chicago (0-0) turned 2018 into a playoff appearance after going 12-4 during the regular season. Although they lost to the Eagles in their only playoff game, the Bears have a lot of momentum coming into this year. Chicago will have one of the best defenses in the NFL led by Khalil Mack. There’s just as much excitement with the offense this year as there is for the vaunted defense.

The Bears offense will feature numerous passing weapons for franchise QB Mitch Trubisky to throw to. However, it’s the running game that’s creating a buzz. Rookie running back David Montgomery looks like a draft steal for Chicago. Can he help take this offense to the top of the NFL?

The spread opened with the Chicago Bears favored as high as four points depending on which NFL betting site. you looked at. Since then, the spread has come down to three points in favor of Chicago. Most online betting sites opened the over/under at 46 points. Currently, the O/U is at 46.5 total points.

Free NFL Sports Bet and Game Pick: Bears -3 (-125)

The Packers have numerous questions heading into the season. Most notably, will the offense play well in a new system under head coach Matt LaFleur who replaced longtime coach Mike McCarthy? Last year was one of the worst statistical seasons for QB Aaron Rodgers. He’s expected to bounce back in 2019.

However, he will have to face one of the toughest defenses in the NFL and on the road in one of the toughest places to play. The Bears have a 53-49-2 all-time record at home and defeated Green Bay last year in Chicago. Rodgers had one of his worst games of the season as he finished with a 68.9 rating.

The Packers were able to get 323 net yards but failed to get anything going on the ground and Rodgers was outplayed by Trubisky. Will this week’s game be any different?

With Chicago, we know what we’re getting: a great defense and an offense that has plenty of weapons. I’m excited to see what David Montgomery can do in the backfield as he splits the workload with Tarik Cohen. On defense, it’s all about pressuring Rodgers.

In their last game at Soldier Field, the Bears held Rodgers and the Packers to just 17 points. They also sacked Rodgers five times and forced one interception. If they can do that on Thursday, then the Bears will win by double digits.

The Packers are 2-4 ATS in their last six games, 1-7 ATS in their last eight divisional games, 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog, 1-5 ATS in a road game where the O/U is between 45.5 and 49, 8-15 ATS in their last 23 NFC games, 6-9 ATS in their last 15 road games.

The Bears are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games, 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games, 7-0 ATS in their last seven division games, 6-3 ATS in their last nine games where the spread is +3 to -3, and 10-6 ATS as a favorite.

Green Bay will show signs of improvement, but it’s hard to ask anyone to go into Chicago and win the game especially when the Bears have one of the best defenses in the league. Additionally, Chicago’s offense will also show signs of improvement as they build off last year’s success.

I’m taking Chicago to win this game and to cover the three-point spread. I believe they will win by a touchdown as their defense will stifle the Packers for most of the game. Offensively, Chicago should put up enough points to pull away late in the game.

Packers vs Bears Betting Recap:

  • Oddsmaker: 5Dimes
  • Moneylines: Packers (+155) and Bears (-175)
  • Spread: Bears -3 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 46.5 total points (-110)
  • Prediction: Bears 27 – Packers 20
Pick: Bears -3
-125

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Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site.

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