Patriots vs Chargers Betting Preview, Odds and Free Predictions

Pick: Patriots
Odds: -113
$100 Could Win You...$188.50

On Sunday, the New England Patriots head to the west coast with the goal of keeping their Playoff hopes alive in a crucial matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers.

The Patriots are currently two games back of the final Wild Card spot in the AFC and need a win this weekend to try and make up ground. The Chargers have been playing well offensively this season, but their defense is a liability.

Can the Chargers derail New England’s march toward the Playoffs or will the Patriots be able to pick up a big road win on Sunday? Kickoff inside SoFi Stadium is at 4:25PM ET.

Patriots vs Chargers Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Lines Totals
New England Patriots Pick -113 Over 47 (-110)
Los Angeles Chargers Pick -107 Under 47 (-110)
Betting Data New England Patriots Los Angeles Chargers
2020 Record 5-6 3-8
2020 Home 4-1 2-3
2020 Away 1-4 1-5
2020 ATS 5-6 4-6-1
2020 ATS Home 4-2 2-3
2020 ATS Away 1-4 2-3-1
2020 O/U 4-7 7-4
2020 O/U Home 1-5 3-2
2020 O/U Away 3-2 4-2

Patriots vs Chargers NFL Game Preview

These two AFC teams have played against each other 42 times with the Patriots leading the all-time series at 25-15-2. They last played in the Playoffs for the 2018 season (January 2019) and New England won 41 to 28. The Patriots have won five in a row and eight of the last nine head to head meetings.

New England is 11-7-1 when playing at the Chargers and have won three of the last four games on the road in this series.

  • The New England Patriots (5-6) are coming off a big home win over the Arizona Cardinals where they kicked a FG as time expired to pull off the upset. Now, New England has to travel to California and try to play with the same desperation as they did in Week 12. Can the Patriots win on the road where they’re 1-4 this year?
  • The Los Angeles Chargers (3-8) are coming off a 10 point loss to the Buffalo Bills where their defense played solid, but their offense couldn’t capitalize on turnovers. Additionally, there was some questionable coaching decisions late in the game. Can the Chargers bounce back this weekend at home?

Head to Head Betting Trends

  • Patriots are 8-2 SU in last 10 meetings
  • Patriots are 7-3 ATS in last 10 matchups
  • The Under is 6-4 in last 10 contests
  • Patriots are 5-0 SU in last five games
  • Patriots are 5-0 ATS in last five meeting

New England Patriots Betting Trends

  • 7-3 SU in last 10 AFC West games
  • 1-4 SU on the road this year
  • 2-6 SU when spread is +3 to -3pts
  • 1-4 ATS in road games this season
  • 2-4 ATS in last six AFC games
  • 3-6 ATS in last nine December games
  • 2-6 ATS when spread is +3 to -3pts
  • Under is 6-2 in last eight games

Los Angeles Chargers Betting Trends

  • 8-11 SU in last 19 home games
  • 2-8 SU in last 10 games
  • 1-4 SU in last five December games
  • 0-5 ATS in last five games
  • 6-13 ATS in last 19 home games
  • 2-4 ATS in last six AFC East games
  • 3-7 ATS in last 10 Weeks 10 through 13 games
  • Over is 7-1 in last eight games

The spread opened with the Chargers favored by 2.5 points. Since then, the line moved to the Chargers getting one point before coming back down to Even with most NFL betting sites. The Over/Under opened at 49 points before coming down to an O/U of 47 total points with most online betting sites.

Free NFL Sports Bet and Game Prediction: Patriots (-113)

This isn’t going to be a cakewalk for the Patriots despite the Chargers having the 3rd worst record in the AFC. Instead, this will be a tough matchup where the better team on Sunday will win.

The Patriots have gone 3-1 in their last four games including wins over Arizona and Baltimore. They could be 6-5 if it weren’t for a poor showing at Houston in Week 11.

Nevertheless, the Patriots do have some advantages heading into this matchup. For starters, they have a top notch passing defense that allows only 238.3 passing yards per game. They will need that defense to play well against the Chargers’ passing attack that averages 293.4 ypg.

As Buffalo showed in Week 12, Herbert might get his passing yards, but they’re not as meaningful if the Chargers can’t convert the passing success into touchdowns.


https://twitter.com/ESPNBoston/status/1333493386913800192?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

Against Buffalo, the Chargers could only muster up 17 points, which is their lowest output since Week 3 against the Panthers when they scored 16 points. This bodes well for the Patriots who held the Cardinals and the Ravens to just 17 points apiece.

The Chargers defense is giving up 120.5 rushing yards per game, which is good news for the Patriots who average 149.6 rushing ypg. I expect New England to find success on the ground which will also keep the high scoring Chargers offense off the field.

Despite struggling on the road this year (1-4 SU), I am picking the Patriots to win on Sunday mostly due to being the more desperate team. A loss this weekend would mathematically eliminate them from winning the AFC East and it would put them 3 games back of the Wild Card spot with four games left.

New England still has to play the Rams, Dolphins and the Bills before finishing up against the Jets. They need this win to keep their Playoff hopes on life support.

I’m taking Bill Belichick, Cam Newton, and this Patriots defense to pull out a hard fought win over the Chargers.

Patriots vs Chargers Betting Recap:

  • Oddsmaker: BetOnline
  • Moneylines: Patriots (-113) vs Chargers (-107)
  • Spread: Pick
  • Over/Under: 47 total points (-110)
  • Prediction: Patriots 24 – Chargers 23

Patriots vs Chargers Pick

Patriots (-113)

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Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site.

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