On Monday night, the Baltimore Ravens head west to take on the Indianapolis Colts in some exciting Monday Night Football preseason action. This game will focus on the quarterback position for both teams, as Andrew Luck is back for Indy and the Ravens are trying to figure out their backup QB situation. Kickoff inside Lucas Oil Stadium is at 8 PM ET and the game will be televised on ESPN.
|Betting Data History||Baltimore Colts||Indianapolis Colts|
|Current S/U record (preseason)||2-0||1-0|
|S/U in 2017||9-7||4-12|
|Current ATS record (preseason)||1-1||1-0|
|2017 ATS Home||3-5||5-3|
|2017 ATS Away||5-1-1||3-5|
|2017 O/U Home||4-4||2-6|
|2017 O/U Away||4-3||4-4|
This is the battle of two franchises that will be forever linked. In 1984, the Colts left their home of Baltimore and relocated to Indianapolis. It sparked a massive legal battle between the city of Baltimore and the Colts franchise. Longtime Baltimore fans have never forgotten the betrayal of the Colts moving cities, but had to wait until 1996 before another franchise, the Ravens, came to Baltimore. Since then, the Ravens and Colts have played 15 regular season and postseason games with the Colts holding a 10-5 advantage. 6 of those games have been played at Indy and the Colts have won all of them. However, the Ravens have taken 3 out of the last 4 head to head meetings including last year’s game.
The big news for the Colts this preseason is all about Andrew Luck returning to the field. Luck missed all of last year and the team only managed to win 4 games without him. This year, Luck looks to get back on track and lead the franchise back to their former winning ways. Last week, was a good first step as they beat the Seahawks 19-17.
The Ravens are in their 3rd preseason game as they played in the HOF game against the Bears and destroyed the Rams last week. Baltimore is looking to see who will step up to become their backup QB and to keep their preseason dominance rolling along.
The spread opened at Even and went as high as -1.5 points for the Colts. However, it has since come back down to Even. The Over/Under opened at 37 points and has gone up to 42.5 total points.
Last week’s game against the Seahawks was Andrew Luck’s first on-field action in what felt like a decade. The franchise QB fared well as he went 6 of 9 for 64 yards. As a team, the Colts had a pedestrian performance as they barely cracked 250 total yards for the game. They also put the ball on the ground several times, but only had one fumble. Surprisingly, the Colts defense held the Seahawks to under 200 total yards and only allowed 108 through the air. Will they be able to do the same this MNF against Baltimore?
In the HOF game, Baltimore squeaked out a 17-16 win. However, last week against the Rams, Baltimore won 33 to 7. All 3 of Baltimore’s QBs played well as both RGIII and Flacco threw touchdown passes. For the game, Baltimore put up 263 yards in the air and 140 on the ground. Meanwhile, they only allowed 170 total yards to the Rams with 49 of that coming through the air.
Baltimore will have a tougher time against Indy as the Colts will play most of their starters for close to a half. Last week, the Rams benched just about everyone who matters on offense. With that said, the Ravens just look fluid and strong this preseason and I expect that to continue on Monday night. Plus, their backup QB battle between Jackson and RGIII has been the catalyst for the second and third string units succeeding in the preseason games. I expect that to happen again on Monday night as the Ravens show that they have better depth, which will win the game for them.
The Ravens are 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 preseason games. Under Harbaugh, the Ravens are 30-12 SU and 28-14 ATS in the preseason. In 2018, they’ve gone 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS and 1-1 for the Over/Under.
The Colts are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 preseason games. I don’t want to focus too much on the spread since this game is a Pick. With that said, the Under is a nice option to bet on. For the Colts, the Under is 6-0 in last 6 games on fieldturf, 8-0 in their last 8 AFC games, and 9-0 in their last 9 games overall if you include Week 1 of the 2018 preseason. For the Ravens, the Under is 3-2 in their last 5 games.
In their last 10 head to head meetings, the Under is 9-1 and the Colts are 7-3 SU and 9-1 ATS. The two teams combine to score 33.4 ppg during that span. The Under is also 5-0 in their last 5 games at Indy.
Because this is a Pick game, I’m going with the Ravens at -105. I believe they have more depth and they have already played 2 preseason games, which gives them an advantage over what they’re trying to accomplish this week. I really like the Under as well. So, I’m not going to be mad at you if you go that route. With that said, I believe the Ravens will win this game 24 – 17.
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