On Thursday, August 30th, the Baltimore Ravens will host the Washington Redskins in the final tune-up before the 2018 regular season starts on September 6th. Baltimore has been impressive during the preseason so far, and looks to remain undefeated. Washington is hoping to turn things around after a poor performance last time out. Kickoff inside M&T Bank Stadium is at 7:30 PM ET.
|Betting Data History||Washington Redskins||Baltimore Ravens|
|Current S/U record (preseason)||1-2||4-0|
|S/U in 2017||7-9||9-7|
|Current ATS record (preseason)||1-2||2-2|
|2017 ATS Home||4-4||3-5|
|2017 ATS Away||3-5||5-1-1|
|2017 O/U Home||3-5||4-4|
|2017 O/U Away||5-3||4-3|
Since 1997, these two teams have played against each other 6 times during the regular season. They both have won 3 games apiece. During that span, there have been two games at Baltimore and they each won 1 game apiece. The last time these two played during the regular season, Washington defeated the Ravens at Baltimore in October 2016.
For the preseason, these two teams have played against each other 10 times with the Ravens leading the series 7-3. Thursday’s game will mark the 5th straight preseason that the Ravens and Washington have played against each other and the 11th time overall. Baltimore has gone 5-1 in the last 6 preseason head to head matchups.
Last week, Washington’s offense looked horrible as they couldn’t muster up anything. The only bright spot was the newly signed Adrian Peterson putting up 56 yards on the ground in his first game with the team. With the starters most likely sitting out for the whole game, Washington is going to need to pull things together during practices in order to be ready for the regular season.
Baltimore has been the preseason Super Bowl team in my opinion. Their depth has shown up each and every week, with some strong performances on both sides of the ball. I look for their backup QBs to be the main focus in this game, and I do expect big things from them.
The spread opened with the Ravens favored by 1.5 points. Since then, it has jumped up to Baltimore -6.5 points. The Over/Under opened at 36 points and has come down slightly to 35.5 total points.
Picking winners in the final preseason game is difficult because 95% of the game will be played by backups. Nevertheless, this is one game I feel confident about.
Washington looks horrible on offense. In fact, they’re only averaging 16.3 ppg this preseason. They haven’t scored more than 17 points in a game and were completely manhandled by Denver last week. Early in the 4th quarter, Denver was up 26-3. Washington did score 2 touchdowns in the 4th, but the Broncos pretty much took off the final quarter of the game.
The Ravens defense is only allowing 13 ppg and held Miami to just 10 points last week. In that game, Miami only had 63 yards on the ground. I don’t see Washington doing much better than this. Also, the Dolphins had just 158 yards passing. I also don’t see Washington getting much more than this.
For Baltimore’s offense and this game, it will be all about the backup QB battle between Lamar Jackson and Robert Griffin III. Jackson, as a rookie, is trying to lockdown the #2 QB spot, while RG III is looking to make the roster and get revenge against his old team. This is Griffin’s best chance to shine even if he’s playing with 2nd and 3rd stringers. I believe these QBs will propel this offense up and down the field, and to a victory.
The Ravens are 2-2 ATS this preseason and Washington is 1-2 ATS. However, Baltimore is 4-0 SU this preseason and they have played lights out football under Harbaugh. With their win in Miami last week, the Ravens are 12-0 SU and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 preseason contests. They’ve improved their record to 32-12 SU and 29-15 ATS in the preseason under Coach Harbaugh.
Washington is 1-3 ATS in their last 4 overall games, including the 2018 preseason, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. The Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 regular season contests. In the preseason, Baltimore is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against Washington.
In their 10 head to head preseason games, Baltimore has averaged 19.2 ppg and Washington has averaged 15.2 ppg. In the last 5 preseason trips to Baltimore, the Ravens are 4-1 and have outscored Washington 23.2 ppg to 16.4 ppg. Last year, Baltimore won 23-3 and Washington has only won on one occasion when traveling to Baltimore in the preseason.
I expect the Ravens to win this game by at least a touchdown. As I said before, I’m rolling with this Baltimore money train until the wheels fall off. And, I don’t see those wheels falling off this week. If you are curious about the money line, Bovada has Baltimore at -300. Now, although I love the Ravens this preseason, risking $300 on Week 4 of the preseason is just too crazy for me. The safe bet is Baltimore -6.5 points.
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