San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors Pick and Prediction

By in NBA on
Golden State Warriors (-11)
San Antonio Spurs (+11)
Total: 221
All odds referenced in this article were taken from Bovada at 12:15pm on March 8, 2018. Odds may have changed since the time of this writing.

It wasn’t too long ago when the Spurs and Warriors met in the Western Conference Finals. This past May, the Spurs actually jumped out to a massive lead in Game 1 at Oracle Arena. An unfortunate trip from Zaza Pachulia ended Kawhi Leonard’s season, however, and Golden State came storming back to take a 1-0 series lead. The Dubs would go on to dispose of the Kawhi-less Spurs and win the title rather easily.

Things have gone south for San Antonio since. They’ve spent much of the season in the No. 3 spot in the West, but a recent slump has endangered their playoff chances. The Spurs are 37-27 on the year, though they’re only 2.5 games up on the 9th place Nuggets. They’ve gone just 3-7 over their last 10 games, and one of the wins was a 2-point victory over the tanking Grizzlies.

LaMarcus Aldridge missed a loss to the Lakers with a sprained ankle, but he returned to the floor against Memphis. He pretty clearly wasn’t himself, though, as he finished with just 7 points on 2-8 shooting from the floor. The Spurs needed a Herculean effort from Tony Parker (23 points) to get past one of the worst teams in basketball at home.

Leonard is expected to return at some point, but that won’t be tonight. He’s been limited to just 9 games this season with a mysterious quad injury, and at one point it was feared that he wouldn’t return at all. He said earlier this week that he plans to come back before the playoffs, though there is no firm timetable as of yet.

While they were able to sneak past the Grizzlies, the Spurs will get their doors blown off if they play that poorly again tonight. Memphis shot better than 52% from the field in that game. If you let the Warriors shoot 52% over the course of a full game, you’re probably allowing 150 points.

The Warriors are still looking up at the Rockets in the standings. It’s hard to make up much ground when the team above you is on a 17-game winning streak, but Golden State has done well to not fall too far behind. The Dubs are riding a 6-game unbeaten streak of their own, and they’re still only a game back of Houston with 18 left on the schedule.

Things haven’t come as easily to Golden State this season. They’ve dealt with some injuries, but they’re expected to be largely healthy for tonight’s game. Andre Iguodala and David West are listed as doubtful, but neither is a massive factor in what they do at this point in the season.

As usual, Steph Curry is the straw that stirs the drink. The Warriors were let the lowly Nets hang around in their most recent game, and that’s when Steph decided to put the game on ice. Curry scored 34 points in the game and drilled 6 three-pointers in what was his best game in quite some time.

The vast majority of Golden State’s production comes via the starters. The starting 5 combined to score 99 of the team’s 114 points against Brooklyn. With the bench a little short-handed tonight, we can expect a similar ratio here tonight against San Antonio.

The way the Spurs are playing, it’s tough to imagine how they can hang with Golden State when the Warriors are in good form. 11 points is a big spread, especially for a team with the Spurs’ pedigree, but there’s no real reason to expect this game to stay very close tonight.

Taking the Warriors to cover looks like a fine play.

Taylor Smith

Taylor Smith has been a staff writer with since early 2017. Taylor is primarily a sports writer, though he will occasionally dabble in other things like politics and entertainment betting. His primary specialties are writing about the NBA, Major League Baseball, NFL and domestic and international soccer. Fringe sports like golf and horse racing aren’t exactly his cup of tea, bu ...

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