Soto vs. Gonzalez Betting Pick, Preview, and Odds

By in Boxing on
6 Minute Read
Soto Vs Gonzalez Boxing Background
Soto vs. Gonzalez Pick – Soto

Boxing’s junior flyweight division is filled with tremendous talent right now. On Saturday, WBO junior flyweight champion Elwin Soto will look to earn another title defense against Jonathan Gonzalez. Today, I’ll offer an in-depth Soto vs. Gonzalez betting pick with a close analysis of how these fighters match up against one another.

Many fans are expecting an all-action fight here. The odds are offering fans some real opportunities to win big.

Here’s what you need to know about this exciting fight!

Soto vs. Gonzalez Odds

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Moneyline Odds Over/Under 8.5
Elwin Soto -900 Over: 115
Jonathan Gonzalez +550 Under: -115

Fans have been looking forward to seeing Elwin Soto defend his title for months. His most recent fight was an impressive TKO victory over Katsunari Takayama back in May. That win proved that he is among the best champions competing in boxing today.

Jonathan Gonzalez is a talented fighter out of Puerto Rico. He is coming off two incredible wins and seems determined to earn the first major title of his career. It certainly won’t be easy to get a victory over a dominant champion like Elwin Soto, though.

It makes sense to see Soto listed as the major favorite here. He hasn’t lost once since 2017 and seems to be in his fighting prime. Jonathan Martinez poses some interesting problems for him, yet the challenger’s odds of +550 seem correct.

Seeing the over/under odds for this matchup is interesting, too. The oddsmakers seem divided on whether or not this bout will go past the 8.5 round mark.

Coming up with a Soto vs. Gonzalez betting pick isn’t easy. Both fighters have the skills to come out victorious here. Now is a great time to compare the statistics these fighters are bringing with them into the ring.

Soto vs. Gonzalez Preview

Junior flyweight is not a weight class that tends to generate major fan interest. That’s a shame, as it often produces some of the best fights. Elwin Soto is truly elite and many are curious to see how he looks against a tough veteran like Jonathan Gonzalez.

Here are some numbers you should know about leading into fight night.

Elwin Soto Jonathan Gonzalez
Age 24 30
Height 5’3″ 5’2″
Reach 63″ 62″
Total Fights 20 29
Record 19-1 24-3-1
Knockouts 13 14

I was surprised when I found out that Elwin Soto is just 24 years old. I knew he was a young champion, yet he competes like a fighter with far more experience in the ring. That could indicate he will be a long-reigning champion at junior flyweight.

I was also a little surprised to see that Jonathan Gonzalez is now 30 years old. He’s a veteran of the game and has been involved in some big fights during his career. This upcoming title fight could be a sort of make-or-break situation, though. It was originally scheduled to take place in September and that extra time may prove to be helpful for Jonathan.

From a physical standpoint, this is a pretty even fight. Soto will step into the cage as the slightly taller fighter with a one-inch reach advantage.

Elwin Soto has a stellar 19-1 record. Jonathan Gonzalez comes in at 24-3-1. Both have earned solid knockouts throughout their career. In fact, both are coming off impressive stoppages leading into Saturday’s title fight.

These numbers were not enough to completely sway my Soto vs. Gonzalez betting pick. It would be a lie to say they had no impact on my prediction, though. This fight will still be decided by who is more skilled.

Elwin’s Goal

Elwin Soto has defied the odds for much of his career. He won the title back in 2019 by scoring a controversial TKO over Angel Acosta. Soto has fantastic flurries that often prompt referees to call fights off, even when it seems they don’t need to.

Soto should look to unload with his combinations in this fight. He sometimes allows himself to get behind on the judge’s scorecards during fights. That is not something he should attempt in this fight, as Jonathan Martinez is a fighter that thrives on momentum.

Instead, Elwin should look to gain an early lead using his blitzing hand speed. If he can take over this fight early on, he has an opportunity to score a late stoppage. He won’t want to let the challenger win early on in an important fight like this one.

Jonathan’s Goal

Some fans had completely written Jonathan Martinez off as a title challenger after his TKO loss to Kosei Tanaka in 2019. He has since bounced back with two impressive wins to earn this junior flyweight title fight against Elwin Soto.

Martinez is a solid fighter that is not afraid to push forward. He is a pressure fighter with real power in his hands. I believe that Jonathan’s key to victory will be to apply pressure early on, looking to steal as many rounds as possible against the champion early on. Most online sports betting sites list him as a major underdog to do so.

As the fight goes on, it seems likely that Elwin Soto will begin to take over. Martinez can still come out victorious by winning the majority of the early rounds and perhaps even scoring an early knockout. It won’t be easy, yet he has the skills and experience to get the job done.

Final Soto vs. Gonzalez Betting Pick

Boxing fans will be treated to many exciting bouts this weekend. In terms of pure action, Soto vs. Gonzalez might be the best. Both fighters are known for their exciting styles and I expect a hard-fought battle between these two competitors on Saturday night.

It took some serious consideration to come up with this Soto vs. Gonzalez betting pick. Initially, I figured this would be an easy night at the office for the champion. Looking closer, however, I began to see why some feel Jonathan will come out with his hand raised.

Check out my official prediction for this clash below!

Elwin Soto wins via unanimous decision

At 24-years-old, Elwin Soto fights like a man far more experienced. He has bounced back from adversity before and has some of the best combinations below 147 pounds. I think his hand speed and fight IQ will allow him to earn a close decision in this fight.

Expect to see Gonzalez having his moments. He is a serious puncher and will likely take at least a couple of rounds here. I feel he will begin to fade as the fight drags on, though, and that is what will allow Soto to earn the win.

Anything is possible in the world of professional boxing. A knockout win for either man is certainly possible here. I agree with the oddsmakers listing Soto as a favorite and believe he is the smarter pick.


It’s a shame that the junior flyweight division does not get as much attention as others. Elwin Soto might be the man to change that trend. He is extremely exciting to watch and is still extremely young. Several more impressive wins could turn him into a superstar. Jonathan Gonzalez should be an excellent test for him.

Don’t forget to head over to BetOnline to check out a full list of odds for this exciting matchup. There are many fantastic boxing betting odds available for the fights this weekend. Take a look at some of the unique prop betting options for these bouts, too.

What do you think of my Soto vs. Gonzalez betting pick? How do you see this fight playing out? Let me know in the comments section below!

Kevin Oldroyd

A longtime sports and gambling enthusiast, Kevin looks to present up-to-date and reliable information for readers. If he’s not writing, he’s probably watching MMA or playing blackjack. ...

View all posts by Kevin Oldroyd
Email the author at: [email protected]