Texans vs Rams – NFL Pick for November 12th
- Rams -11.5
It’s been quite the few weeks for the Houston Texans. The Texans looked to be a team on the rise as recently as two weeks ago, but it now looks as though they’ll be lucky to win another game this season. DeShaun Watson, J.J. Watt, Whitney Mercilus, and a number of other key contributors have been lost for the season, and they are coming off a disastrous home loss to the lowly Indianapolis Colts.
With Tom Savage under center, the Texans’ offense has looked absolutely atrocious. Savage has played in three games on the season, two of which were starts. He has completed just 45.6 percent of his throws for 281 yards with a touchdown, and surprisingly, no interceptions. While the lack of picks is a plus, he’s not exactly been careful with the football. Savage has already fumbled four times this season, including a sack/fumble on the last play of the game last week against Indy.
The Texans have scored a grand total of 7 points with Savage on the field this season, all of which came last week against the Colts. Houston scored 14 in the loss, 7 of which came via a defensive touchdown off a fumble recovery by Lamarr Houston.
Houston’s offense was electrifying with Watson at the helm, but it is an abject disaster with Savage leading the way. It’s tough to imagine the Texans being able to muster much offense at all on the road this week against a salty Rams defense.
Rams on Fire
L.A., meanwhile, is riding high. The Rams are off to a 6-2 start this season, and last week they absolutely trounced the Giants 51-17 in the Meadowlands. This doesn’t look at all like the team that languished its way to a putrid 4-12 campaign a year ago. Under new head coach Sean McVay and his coaching staff, quarterback Jared Goff has flourished.
Goff, who struggled in a big way as a rookie last season, looks like a polished veteran in his second year. Through 8 games, Goff is completing better than 60 percent of his throws for 2,030 yards along with 13 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Goff had 7 picks in just 7 games last season.
The Rams’ improved passing game has also cleared more space for running back Todd Gurley. Gurley, who struggled tremendously last season (just 3.2 yards per carry), once again looks like the game-breaking type of talent that won the Offensive Rookie of the Year Award two years ago. Through 8 games, the former Georgia Bulldog has rushed 161 times for 686 yards along with 7 scores of his own. Last year, Gurley racked up just 885 yards in all 16 games.
The Rams were a pathetic offensive club last year, but this season they’ve been waxing teams on a weekly basis. The Rams have scored 263 points already this season, which is the second-most in the league behind only the Philadelphia Eagles. They have already scored more points than they did all of last season when they scored a league-worst 224 points in 16 games.
Los Angeles has scored 50 or more once, 40 or more 3 times, and 30 or more 5 times already. Last year, the Rams scored at least 30 points in a game just 1 time.
Take the Rams
The Rams are at home, they’re playing with maximum confidence, and they’re facing a wounded foe. The 11 ½-point spread is the largest on the board this week, but we don’t think it’s big enough. There’s almost no way to imagine L.A. doesn’t just crush Houston in this spot.
You can also hit the over on 45 ½ points, if you so choose. As we’ve seen, the Rams are capable of hitting that over on their own.