On Saturday, the main event of the college football weekend is a showdown between the top ranked Clemson Tigers and the Texas A&M Aggies. This early season game could have long term playoff ramifications for the loser. Each team boasts of talent on both sides of the ball. Will we get another close game like last year or will Clemson flex its National Championship winning muscles? Kickoff for the Texas A&M vs Clemson game inside Memorial Stadium-Clemson is at 3:30 PM ET.
|Betting Data||Texas A&M Aggies||Clemson Tigers|
|2019 ATS Home||1-0||1-0|
|2019 ATS Away||0-0||0-0|
|2019 O/U Home||0-1||1-0|
|2019 O/U Away||0-0||0-0|
These two college football powerhouses have played against each other five times. Last year, Clemson held on to defeat the Aggies, but it’s Texas A&M that has the edge in head-to-head meetings as they’re 3-2 against the Tigers.
Texas A&M (1-0) is coming off a 41-7 victory in-state, trouncing the Texas State Bobcats. The Aggies were able to impose their will on the Bobcats in just about every aspect of the game. The offense finished with 478 total yards on a balanced attack. This weekend, they go up against a top shelf defense on the road.
Clemson (1-0) hosted the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets last weekend and smashed them with a score of 52-14. The Yellow Jackets didn’t score until mid-third quarter and were already down by 35 points at the time. The Tigers did a lot of damage on the ground, but can they have the same success against the Aggies?
The spread for this college football game has seen a lot of movement as bettors try to figure out which side to lay wagers on. Clemson opened as a -18 point favorite with most college football betting sites before seeing the number fall as low as 17 points.
After a few days of bettors hammering the Aggies, online betting sites raised the spread as high as 18.5 points for the Tigers. Currently, the spread has fallen back down to 16.5 points in favor of Clemson. The over/under opened at 61.5 points before climbing up to 64 total points with most sports betting sites.
The Aggies haven’t forgotten their narrow defeat last year. In fact, it’s their motivation for this weekend’s contest as they believe that they can win this football game even if nobody else does.
For the Aggies to win, they will need a superhuman effort on defense to slow down the Tigers offense. They’re not playing against the Bobcats this weekend. Clemson’s offense has arguably the best QB in Lawrence, one of the top running backs in Etienne, and a plethora of passing weapons.
The Aggies secondary will need to build off their four pick performance from last weekend and win the one on one battles. The front seven will have to slow down Travis Etienne who rushed for 205 yards and three touchdowns on just 12 carries.
Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence was a bit rusty in the season opener with two interceptions. I expect him to perform better this weekend. Lawrence went 5 of 9 for 93 yards and 1 TD against the Aggies last year in relief effort.
Texas A&M’s offense will have some difficulties against a defense that held the vaunted Yellow Jackets’ rushing attack to just 157 yards on 45 carries. The Aggies won’t be able to hit their 246-yard mark on the ground from last weekend.
Aggies’ QB Mond will need another big game against Clemson like he did last year when he went 23 for 40, 430 yards, and three touchdown throws. He looked good in the opener, but that was against Texas State. Basically, it was a glorified scrimmage.
The Aggies are 4-1 ATS in their last five overall games, 5-0 SU over that span, 5-1 ATS in their last six Week 2 games, 16-8 ATS in their last 24 overall games, 8-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games and 3-0 ATS in their last three ACC games.
Clemson is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a betting favorite, 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points, 16-8 ATS in their last 24 Saturday games, 4-2 ATS when the game total is between 56.5 and 64 points, and 7-0 ATS in their last seven games when scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
I like Texas A&M to cover the 16.5 points. This is a revenge game for them, and I wasn’t impressed with Lawrence last weekend. Furthermore, I like Mond’s chances this weekend to have a big game against the Tigers.
I believe this spread might be a bit high considering how strong Texas A&M is. I believe Clemson will win the game, but not by 17 points or more. I expect a score closer to a touchdown difference in this one.
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