TNF AFC South Preview: Jaguars vs Titans Odds, Pick and Prediction

by Rick Rockwell
on December 5, 2018

Week 14 of the NFL season starts with an AFC South clash as the Jacksonville Jaguars head north to take on the Tennessee Titans. The Jaguars have no real chance at making the playoffs, but the Titans are still in contention for one of the Wild Card spots. Can Jacksonville play spoiler for the second week in a row or will the Titans get above .500 and take a big step toward another playoff appearance? Kickoff inside Nissan Stadium is at 8:20 PM ET.

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Jaguars vs Titans Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of Live Odds feed:

Betting Data Jacksonville Jaguars Tennessee Titans
Current S/U record 4-8 6-6
2018 Home 3-4 4-1
2018 Away 1-4 2-5
2018 ATS 4-6-2 6-6
2018 ATS Home 3-3-1 3-2
2018 ATS Away 1-3-1 3-4
2018 O/U 5-7 5-7
2018 O/U Home 2-5 2-3
2018 O/U Away 3-2 3-4

Jaguars vs Titans AFC South Game Preview

The Jaguars and the Titans have played against each other 48 times heading into Thursday’s battle. The Titans hold the advantage in this rivalry with a 28-20 record. The two teams played in September of this year and the Titans won that game 9 to 6. Tennessee has won 5 of the last 6 games in this series and the last 3 straight meetings. The Titans are 14-9 against the Jaguars at home and have gone 8-2 over the last 10 games played in Tennessee, including winning the last 4 straight.

Jacksonville (4-8) surprised NFL fans and oddsmakers this past weekend as they upset the red hot Indianapolis Colts by a score of 6-0. The Jaguars ended their 7-game losing streak and did so without their best player Leonard Fournette who was suspended for the game due to a fight two weeks ago. Jacksonville looks to pull off another AFC South upset this weekend against the Titans.

Tennessee (6-6) came from behind to defeat the New York Jets as they scored the winning touchdown with 36 seconds left in the game. The Titans entered the 4th quarter down 22 to 13 on their home field. Tennessee’s victory keeps them in the Wild Card conversation as they’re tied with three other teams at 6-6 and one game back of the Ravens for the final playoff spot.

Depending on which online sportsbook you looked at, the Titans opened as the favorite with a spread that ranged anywhere from 3.5 to 5 points. Currently, the majority of football betting sites have the Titans listed as a 4 point favorite. The Over/Under opened at 38 points with most online betting sites. Currently, that number has come down slightly to 37.5 total points.

Free NFL Sports Bet and Prediction: Titans (-110)

When these two teams play, points will be hard to come by. Not only did the two teams combine for 12 total points in their first encounter this season, but they only average a combined 35.5 ppg on the year. The Jaguars are 30th in scoring at 16.9 ppg and the Titans are 28th in scoring at 18.4 ppg. Defensively, they’re near the top of the league in scoring defense as the Jaguars are 5th at 20.2 ppg and the Titans are 6th at 20.4 ppg.

Last weekend, the Jaguars made the move to Cody Kessler after benching Blake Bortles for the rest of the season. Kessler went 18 of 24 for 150 yards, zero TDs and zero turnovers. It was all about the Jacksonville defense last Sunday as they shutout the Colts and looked like the Jaguars defense of old.

This week, the Jaguars have a less potent offense to defend and I think they will do a great job at it. Jacksonville allows 330.2 total ypg and the Titans are 28th in the league averaging 331.2 total ypg. The Titans try to establish their offense through running the ball, but they average just 112.7 ypg. The Jaguars are 16th against the run, allowing 108.4 ypg.

Jacksonville also likes to run the ball as they average 111.3 ypg. The Titans are 19th against the run, allowing 119.8 ypg. The Jaguars get their best player back this week as Leonard Fournette will return from suspension. I like his chances against a below average rush defense. With Fournette back, it will open up the Jaguars offense more and present more throwing lanes for Kessler.

Between Kessler and Titans QB Mariota, the advantage is with Tennessee. But, Marcus isn’t having a great year and the Jaguars defense can definitely shut down this anemic Titans offense.

I really like the Jaguars and the points this week. I believe they have just as much talent, if not more than the Titans. Furthermore, last weekend was a wake-up call for the team as they shut out the Colts 6-0. I believe they can definitely keep this game close and possibly win it.

The Jaguars are 10-3 ATS when an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points, 6-1 ATS when a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points, 4-2 ATS after a divisional win, and 5-3 ATS during the final four weeks of the year. The Titans are 2-8 ATS when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points, 7-14 ATS when playing a tea with a losing record, 5-9-2 ATS in their last 16 games against the Jaguars, and 15-33 ATS when a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points.

I don’t like the Over/Under at all in this game. Just when you think they will have a low scoring game, these two offenses go on to score over 20 apiece. With Fournette back, the Jaguars can score more, which means the Titans will have to try and score more just to keep up.

The NFL moneyline for the Jaguars is appealing. If you believe that Jacksonville will win then a +175 moneyline has a nice return on it. For me, the smart play is the Jaguars getting +4 points. This game will most likely be decided by a late field goal or two.

Jaguars vs Titans Betting Recap:

  • Oddsmaker: BetOnline
  • Moneylines: Jaguars (+175) and Titans (-205)
  • Spread: Titans -4 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 37.5 total points (-105)
  • Prediction: Jaguars 16 – Titans 13
Pick: Titans -4
-110

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