Top KBO Picks and Predictions for Friday, September 24th

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KBO

The KBO will be back on Friday night with the beginning of five new series around the league. The KT Wiz were upset by the Hanwha Eagles last night, but the Samsung Lions blew the chance to make up ground in the standings with a loss of their own. So, the Wiz will enter the weekend maintaining a 5.5-game lead over the Lions for the No. 1 seed in the league table.

Both teams face difficult  matchups this weekend. KT will host the third-place LG Twins, while the Lions will welcome the NC Dinos to town. DraftKings has already posted odds ahead of Friday night’s slate of action, so let’s pick some winners.

LG Twins vs. KT Wiz

KT fell on the road to Hanwha last night, while the Twins throttled the Lions, 11-3. LG closed to within 6.5 games of the Wiz for the top spot in the standings, but time is running out. The Twins will have a great chance to cut further into KT’s lead when the two teams meet up this weekend.

KT is a -150 moneyline favorite at home in the series opener with Young-pyo Ko set to draw the start. The Twins will have Chan-kyu Im on the mound as +130 underdogs.

Ko is in the midst of the best year of his career. The 30-year-old is 11-4 with a 3.11 ERA on the season, including a very impressive 0.98 WHIP. Ko has won each of his last four decisions, including a triumph at LG three starts ago. Ko has gone at least eight innings in each of his last three starts, as well.

Im has been more pedestrian for the Twins. The right-hander is just 1-5 through 10 games with a 4.30 ERA, which is slightly better than his career 4.85 mark. He hasn’t won since June 22, however, with no-decisions in each of his last two starts.

The Wiz are justifiable favorites in this one with the red-hot Ko on the mound. Bet the Wiz to bounce back and win at home tonight.

The Bet: KT Wiz (-150) 

NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions

The Lions got tattooed by the Twins last night, while the Dinos fell short in a one-run loss to Kiwoom on the road. NC’s road trip will continue tonight when they begin a weekend set with Samsung.

The defending KBO champs are listed as +130 underdogs on the road on top online sportsbooks, with the Lions checking in as -150 favorites. The Dinos will have Wes Parsons on the mound, while ace Tae-in Won gets the nod for Samsung.

The Lions tend to win whenever Won gets the ball. The young right-hander is 12-5 with an excellent 2.88 ERA in 21 games so far this year. He hasn’t won a decision in any of his last three games, but he did beat the Dinos at home back in June.

Parsons is 3-5 with a 3.80 ERA in his first year with the Dinos. His last win came on May 27, but he has pitched pretty well. Parsons hasn’t allowed more than one run just once in his last four games. He was a hard-luck loser the last time he faced the Lions, with two earned runs allowed in six solid innings at the beginning of July.

Samsung is typically a very safe bet whenever Won takes his turn. Take the Lions to keep pace with the Wiz with a win tonight on their home field.

The Bet: Samsung Lions (-150)

Hanwha Eagles vs. Doosan Bears

The Eagles beat the league-leading Wiz last night, but they’re still two games behind Kia for the worst record in the entire league. Hanwha has been better of late, but they’re still 25 games under the .500 mark. They’ll hit the road to face a Doosan team that comes into tonight’s game riding a league-best seven-game winning streak.

The Bears are absolutely massive -335 favorites at home in this one. Ace lefty Ariel Miranda will get the ball for the Bears, while the Eagles will counter with Ki-joong Kim. 

Miranda has emerged as the headliner of the Bears’ rotation in his first year with the team. The southpaw is 12-4 with a 2.36 ERA this year, and he comes into tonight’s game having won six of his last seven decisions. Miranda hasn’t allowed more than three runs in a game since May 19. He has just dominated this competition all year long.

Kim, meanwhile, has been mediocre since joining Hanwha’s rotation. The Bears are listed at -155 to cover the runline tonight, which feels like decent value considering their status as heavy, heavy favorites. Miranda will have his way with the Eagles’ bats tonight, so that Doosan runline is a pretty safe bet.

The Bet: Doosan Bears -1.5 (-155)

Lotte Giants vs. Kiwoom Heroes

Kiwoom edged the Dinos in a one-run win last night, while the Giants lost and tied their two games against SSG. The Heroes are slight -120 moneyline favorites at home against Lotte in tonight’s series opener, with the Giants coming at even-money on the moneyline.

The Heroes are set to start Seon-gi Kim. The right-hander has pitched 16 times for Kiwoom this year, with just four starts under his belt. His 5.35 ERA is downright ugly, though he did beat the Giants just two starts ago. Kim held the Lotte bats to three runs on two hits in 6.1 innings earlier this month.

Lotte will resort to righty In-bok Lee, who has made 17 of his 19 appearances in relief. Lee has a 5.34 ERA on the year, which is actually a welcome sight considering his ERA was over 10 in each of his first three years in the league. 

Frankly, Lee is kinda terrible. I think the Heroes should be heavier favorites than their current -120 odds would indicate, which represents a good buy-low opportunity on Kiwoom.

The Bet: Kiwoom Heroes (-120)

SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers

SSG went 1-0-1 in their doubleheader against the Giants last night, while the Tigers fell 8-2 at the hands of the blazing Doosan Bears. Tonight’s clash between SSG and Kia comes with an over/under of 10 runs, and the Tigers are actually -125 favorites.

The Tigers will have Bo Takahashi on the mound in this one. This will actually be his KBO debut after he began his career in the Arizona Diamondbacks system. The Brazilian right-hander bounced around the minor leagues before inking a deal with Kia just last month.

Min-jun Choi gets the ball for SSG on the road. Choi is 2-2 through 32 games this season, including seven starts. His 6.12 ERA is rather unsightly, but still an improvement on the bloated 14.40 mark he posted a year ago. 

Takahashi is obviously an unproven commodity at this level, but his major league background should lead to some success against lesser competition. I like Kia to take home the win in his KBO debut.

The Bet: Kia Tigers (-125)
Taylor Smith

Taylor Smith has been a staff writer with GamblingSites.org since early 2017. Taylor is primarily a sports writer, though he will occasionally dabble in other things like politics and entertainment betting. His primary specialties are writing about the NBA, Major League Baseball, NFL and domestic and international soccer. Fringe sports like golf and horse racing aren’t exactly his cup of tea, bu ...

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