Utah vs Stanford – NCAA Football Pick for October 6th

by Rick Rockwell
on October 3, 2018
6

Minute Read

On Saturday, the #14 ranked Stanford Cardinal looks to get back on track with a home game against conference foe the Utah Utes. Stanford is still in a great position to win their Pac-12 conference division, while Utah is looking to play consistent football for 4 quarters and upset Stanford. Kickoff inside Stanford Stadium is at 10:30 PM ET.

Betting Data Utah Utes Stanford Cardinal
Current S/U record 2-2 4-1
2018 Home 1-1 3-0
2018 Away 1-1 1-1
2018 ATS 1-3 3-2
2018 ATS Home 1-1 2-1
2018 ATS Away 0-2 1-1
2018 O/U 1-2 2-3
2018 O/U Home 0-1 0-3
2018 O/U Away 1-1 2-0

Utah Utes vs Stanford Cardinal Pac-12 Game Preview

Utah and Stanford have played against each other 8 times with each team winning 4 games apiece. They first squared off against each other in 1902. On this side of the 2000’s, these two teams have played against each other 3 times and Utah is 2-1. Stanford won last year’s battle in Utah, by a score of 23 to 20.

Utah (2-2, 0-2 Pac-12) is coming off two straight losses against Pac-12 Washington teams. Last weekend, the Utes lost at Washington State and two weekends ago they lost at home to the Huskies. Utah has struggled against tougher competition as of late. This weekend, their competition isn’t any easier as they head to the Bay Area to take on an angry Stanford Cardinal football team.

Stanford (4-1, 2-0 Pac-12) is coming off an ugly loss on the road against Notre Dame. The Cardinal team had been teetering on the brink of disaster prior to this loss. They return home where they’ve gone 3-0 so far. Stanford will look to reestablish their defense that’s given up 34.5 ppg over the last two weeks.

At the majority of online sites, the spread opened with Stanford favored by 5 points and there has been no movement since then. The Over/Under opened at 46.5 total points and remains unchanged at available sportsbooks.

Free NCAAF Sports Bet and Game Prediction

Yes, Stanford has had a tough few weeks as they’ve played two straight games on the road against two Top 20 teams. Two weekends ago, they pulled out a fantastic OT win at Oregon. Unfortunately, their luck ran out against the Fighting Irish last weekend. Stanford had closed the game to 24-17 at the end of the 3rd quarter, but fell flat in the 4th quarter and was outscored 14-0 by Notre Dame.

Against ND, Stanford had their worst offensive performance of the season as they were held to 17 points, 229 total yards, and 10 first downs. Bryce Love failed to crack 100 yards on the ground and QB KJ Costello couldn’t even crack 175 passing yards. It was an embarrassing performance on the national stage. And, that’s why I believe Stanford will bounce back this weekend. They will be an angry bunch, looking to reestablish themselves as a Pac-12 contender and get back to playing solid football.

Utah comes to town sporting a strong defense and an average Pac-12 offense. However, when you dig deeper into the Utes’ defensive numbers, you will see that their numbers are bloated due to their first two games of the season against Weber State and NIU. The last two weekends, Utah gave up 445 total yards to WSU and two weekends ago they gave up 327 total yards to the Huskies. Furthermore, Utah gave up 28 points to WSU and 21 points to UW. All of these numbers are above their season averages.

Offensively, Utah put up 261 total yards against UW and 322 total yards against WSU. Both numbers are well below their offensive season averages. I don’t see Utah gaining more than 320 total yards against Stanford this weekend.

The Utes give up only 83 rushing yards per game. Once again, that’s deceiving as they gave up 143 yards to UW’s Myles Gaskin, who was the only top rusher they’ve faced so far. Although, Stanford’s Bryce Love has not had the success that everyone thought he would so far, he’s always a threat to explode and this could be the week.

Last weekend, WSU quarterback Gardner Minshew threw for 445 yards and 3 TDs. I believe that bodes well for Stanford’s KJ Costello who was cranking out some solid passing performances before his flop in South Bend last weekend. 2 weeks ago, Costello put up 327 passing yards and 3 TDs on the road at Oregon.

Although I think Stanford has the potential to win by at least a touchdown, I need to see their resolve and strength following a loss before I jump on the 5-point spread. Additionally, Utah has been good against the spread especially vs Stanford as they’ve gone 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 head-to-head meetings. Additionally, the underdog is 3-0-1 ATS over that same span. The majority of Stanford’s games these last few years have gone Under including 3-0 at home this year. However, many of Utah’s games have gone Over in the last two seasons. So, I’m staying away from the total points line as well.

I think the smart bet here is the Stanford moneyline at -210. Stanford is 3-0 at home this year, 5-2 SU when a favorite fo 3.5 to 10.5 points, 20-3 SU as a favorite, 13-2 SU in their last 15 home games, 15-6 SU against Pac-12 opponents and 5-2 SU in their last 7 October games. Utah is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games as an Underdog and 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record.

Give me Stanford (-210) at home in a bounce back performance.

Utah vs Stanford Betting Recap:

  • Oddsmaker: BetOnline, 5Dimes
  • Money lines: Utah (+175) and Stanford (-210)
  • Spread: Stanford -5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 46.5 total points (-110)
  • Prediction: Stanford 27 – Utah 21
Pick: Stanford
-210

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