Washington Redskins at Kansas City Chiefs – NFL Pick for October 2nd

by Taylor Smith
on October 2, 2017
Washington Redskins +250
VS
Kansas City Chiefs -300
Total: 49

Week 4 comes to a close with an intriguing Monday night matchup between the Washington Redskins and the Kansas City Chiefs. Both of these teams have gotten off to impressive starts. The Chiefs enter MNF at a perfect 3-0 after wins over the Patriots, Eagles and Chargers, while the ‘Skins are 2-1 and coming off back-to-back victories over the Rams and Raiders.

Vegas seems pretty confident that the Chiefs are going to get the job done on their own turf in this one. Kansas City (-7) is a full touchdown favorite at Arrowhead tonight. The Chiefs have beaten the spread in each of their first three games on the year, and they’ve been doing so with what’s suddenly become a dynamic offense.

Kareem Hunt has gotten off to one of the better starts for a rookie rusher in NFL history. The Toledo product has racked up 538 yards from scrimmage through his first three games, which is the most for any rookie since 1980. Hunt has already scored six touchdowns, and three of them have come on plays of 50 yards or more.

Let’s not forget the KC defense, which has been roughing people up so far. The Chiefs lead the league in sacks (11), rank second in forced fumbles (5) and third in picks (4). However, they haven’t exactly been dominant, as opponents are averaging 370 yards per game against them to this point. Forcing turnovers is a big part of what has made them an effective unit.

Fortunately for Washington, turnovers haven’t been a problem. The Redskins have just two turnovers as a team through three games: a Kirk Cousins interception and a Samaje Perine lost fumble. They’ve also been effective on offense controlling the clock. The Redskins held the ball for about 38 minutes in last week’s dominant win over the Raiders.

Kirk Cousins continues to chug along as perhaps the game’s most underrated quarterback. The 29-year-old, who still doesn’t have a long-term contract, has completed a tidy 68 percent of his throws to this point for 784 yards with five touchdowns and just a single interception.

He was absolutely on-point in last week’s easy win over Oakland. Cousins completed 25 of 30 passes for 365 yards with three scores and no turnovers.

The Redskins have a dangerous big-play weapon of their own in fourth-year back Chris Thompson, though he’s not utilized nearly as much as Hunt is with the Chiefs. Thompson has gotten just 9.0 touches per game through the season’s first three weeks. He’s having to battle with the likes of Perine and Rob Kelley in the Washington backfield for carries. Perine has 40 carries, Kelley has 22 and Thompson has only 14.

However, Thompson has certainly made the most of his limited time with the football. Thompson has already scored four touchdowns this season, and he leads the team in receptions (13), targets (19) and receiving yards (231). You’ll most often see him featuring for the Redskins in third-down situations.

The Chiefs are clearly the team with the better overall track record to this point.

-7 makes for a pretty hefty spread, but we’re comfortable enough with what we’ve seen from KC so far that we think they can cover.

The Chiefs improve to 4-0 tonight and easily cover that seven-point spread.

MONEYLINE
DECIMAL
FRACTIONAL
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