At the end of September, it was hard to imagine that this Thanksgiving Day matchup would have any significance. Yet, here we are as both the Washington Football Team and the Dallas Cowboys are a half game out of first place in the NFC East.
The winner of this game will have the divisional tie breaker and a good chance at supplanting the Eagles as the division leader.
Will Washington get a big Turkey Day road win or will Dallas defend their home turf and stuff Washington’s attempt to leapfrog them in the standings? Kickoff inside AT&T Stadium is at 4:30PM ET.
The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:
|Washington Football Team||+2.5 (-110)||+120||Over 46.5 (-110)|
|Dallas Cowboys||-2.5 (-110)||-140||Under 46.5 (-110)|
|Betting Data||Washington Football Team||Dallas Cowboys|
|2020 ATS Home||3-2-1||1-4|
|2020 ATS Away||1-3||1-4|
|2020 O/U Home||2-3-1||3-2|
|2020 O/U Away||2-2||2-3|
These divisional rivals have played against each other 121 times. Dallas holds a commanding lead in this all-time rivalry with a record of 73-46-2. These two teams played last month and Washington won 25 to 3. Dallas has won four straight games at home versus Washington.
The Cowboys have been an annual fixture on Thanksgiving since 1966 and have a Turkey Day record of 31-20-1. Last year, they lost at home versus Buffalo.
Washington last played on Thanksgiving in 2017 and beat the Giants. They’re just 3-8 overall on this Holiday.
The spread opened as Even before it rose as high as -3 points for Dallas. Since then, the spread has come down to -2.5 in favor of Dallas with most NFL betting sites. The Over/Under opened at 48 points and has come down to 46.5 total points with most online betting sites.
This is a revenge game of sorts as Dallas looks to avenge the nasty hit that a Washington defender put on Andy Dalton when he was sliding to the ground in their first matchup. The hit knocked out Dalton for a few weeks due to a serious concussion.
Dalton returned in Week 11 to help the Cowboys upset the Minnesota Vikings 31 to 28. He threw 3 touchdown passes and running back Ezekiel Elliott also ran for 103 yards. This was the best offensive performance by the Cowboys since they lost Dak Prescott for the year.
Dallas will have their offensive chances this week against Washington who gives up 120.4 rushing yards per game and 22.7ppg. However, the Football Team is stingy against the pass only allowing 217.6 passing ypg. Furthermore, they do get after the quarterback with that ferocious front four.
For the Cowboys to win, they will need to play solid defense and lean on the running game like last weekend against the Vikings.
I like Washington, but they’re 0-4 on the road this season. In fact, they’ve lost six straight road games. Furthermore, they’re just 4-12 SU in their last 16 NFC East games.
Dallas is 2-3 at home this year, meaning they’ve won most of their games at AT&T Stadium. Dallas is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games against the Washington Football Team.
I expect Andy Dalton to come out and continue his game management style of play this week. I also expect Dallas to lean heavily on Elliott and backup RB Tony Pollard to find success against this Washington defense. It will set up their play action pass, which will be needed against this solid pass defense.
If Washington can shut down the run this week then they will win the game. However, I believe Dallas will pull out the victory on Thanksgiving and celebrate with all of the traditional Turkey Day foods.
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