Week 3 TNF Bet: Panthers vs. Texans Preview, Odds and Pick

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Panthers vs Texans
Panthers vs. Texans Pick – Carolina Panthers -7.5 (-110)
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Week 3 kicks off with a Thursday Night Football game that the schedule makers probably wish they could redo as the Carolina Panthers travel to Texas to take on the Houston Texans.

The Panthers come into this week sitting 2-0 and looking like the surprise of the NFC so far. They’re getting great play on both sides of the ball and are poised to remain unbeaten on the season.

The Texans have showed more fight than what many pundits believed they would put up at the start of the season as many of them picked Houston to finish with the worst record in the league.

Will the Panthers remain undefeated or will the Texans pull off the upset?

Kickoff inside NRG Stadium is at 8:20pm ET.

Panthers vs. Texans Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneylines Totals
Carolina Panthers -7.5 (-110) -350 Over 43 (-110)
Houston Texans +7.5 (-110) +290 Under 43 (-110)
Betting Data Carolina Panthers Houston Texans
2021 Record 2-0 1-1
2021 Home 2-0 1-0
2021 Away 0-0 0-1
2021 ATS 2-0 2-0
2021 ATS Home 2-0 1-0
2021 ATS Away 0-0 1-0
2021 O/U 0-2 2-0
2021 O/U Home 0-2 1-0
2021 O/U Away 0-0 1-0

Panthers vs. Texans NFL Game Preview

These two teams have played each other just five times with the Panthers leading the series at 3-2. Their last head to head game came in 2019 where the Panthers won by 16 to 10 at Houston. Carolina is 2-1 on the road at Houston.

The Panthers (2-0) picked up a big divisional win in Week 2 after crushing the Saints 26 to 7. It was an improvement over their Week 1 win against the Jets and showcased QB Sam Darnold’s continued maturity with his new team. Can Carolina cruise to another victory this week?

Houston (1-1) opened up the season with a 37 to 21 win over the Jaguars, but ended up losing to Cleveland last weekend in a spirited effort. Houston played a strong first half against the Browns but faded in the second half and fell to .500 on the season.

Houston’s starting QB Tyrod Taylor left the game with a hamstring injury. His status for this Week 3 TNF matchup against the Panthers remains questionable as of this writing.

Opening Odds and Line Movement for Game

The Panthers opened as a 3.5 point favorite but saw that line quickly jump to 7 points after their Week 2 win. Currently, the line sits at -7.5 points in favor of Carolina with most NFL betting sites.

The Over/Under has been erratic to say the least as it opened at 44.5 points then went up to a high of 46 points before coming back down to the current O/U of 43 total points.

Head to Head Betting Trends

  • Carolina is 3-2 SU in last five meetings
  • Carolina is 3-2 ATS in last five contests
  • Carolina is 2-1 SU at Houston
  • The Under is 4-1 in last five matchups

Carolina Panthers Betting Trends

  • 4-9 SU in last 13 games
  • 9-1 SU in last 10 AFC South games
  • 7-0 ATS in last seven road games
  • 4-1 ATS in last five games
  • 5-2 ATS in last seven September games
  • Over is 11-5 in last 16 AFC games
  • Over is 5-2 in last seven Week 3 games

Houston Texans Betting Trends

  • 1-6 SU in last seven games
  • 4-8 SU in last 12 home games
  • 3-6 SU in last nine NFC games
  • 4-1 ATS in last five games
  • 3-9 ATS in last 12 Thursday games
  • 4-9 ATS in last 13 Week 3 games
  • Over is 4-1 in last five games
  • Over is 4-1 in last five September games

Free TNF Bet and Game Prediction: Panthers -7.5

If the NFL could flex a game this early in the season, I would imagine they jump all over this one.

Speaking of flexing, I fully expect the Panthers to flex on the Texans in Week 3’s TNF matchup as this team is on a roll as my fellow high school alum head coach Matt Rhule has Carolina playing good football this season.

Panthers Offense Will Pounce on Houston’s Defense

Carolina’s offense is humming along and they’ve done it without McCaffrey going All-Madden on someone yet.

McCaffrey has 170 rushing yards in two games along with 145 receiving yards. He’s only scored 1 TD so far. I expect the best all-purpose back to eclipses his season averages against the Texans.

Sam Darnold has played two solid games with 584 passing yards, 3 TDs and 1 INT in two games. DJ Moore leads the Panthers offense with 14 receptions for 159 yards and a TD.

Houston’s defense is giving up 388.5 total yards, 272.5 passing yards and 26 points per game. I don’t see the Texans stopping this Carolina offense on Thursday.

Panthers Defense Will Maul Houston’s Offense

Houston has had two solid offensive outings with the majority of their stats coming in Week 1 against the lowly Jaguars.

They came out strong against Cleveland in the first half, but faded badly in the second half. Additionally, without Tyrod Taylor (if he doesn’t play) this offense will be even worse.

Now, they face a Panthers defense who have allowed just 231 total yards, 46.5 rushing yards and just 10.5 points per game.

Carolina smothered a Saints team that is better than this Houston team by allowing just 7 points in the 4th quarter. New Orleans could only muster up a pathetic 128 total yards.

Houston is a run first team going up against a strong rush defense. I don’t like Houston’s chances at all this week.

A Double Digit Win for Carolina

The Panthers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games and I expect that number to improve to eight after this week.

I see Carolina getting out to a big lead by halftime as they did in their first two matchups. Against the Jets, the Panthers were up 16-0 at halftime. Against the Saints, Carolina was up 17-0 at halftime.

Houston is giving up 272.5 passing yards and I expect Sam Darnold to have a solid TNF game. I also expect McCaffrey to have a big day as well against this subpar Houston defense.

Carolina will win by double digits especially of Tyrod Taylor doesn’t play. I’m taking Carolina to win 27 to 13.

Pick: Panthers -7.5
Odds: -110
$100 Could Win You...$190.91

Panthers vs. Texans Betting Recap:

  • Oddsmaker: BetOnline
  • Moneylines: Panthers (-350) vs Texans (+290)
  • Spread: Panthers -7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 43 total points (-110)
  • Prediction: Panthers 27 – Texans 13
Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

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