On Sunday, the unbeaten Seattle Seahawks will make their second trip to the East Coast in four weeks as they take on the scrappy Miami Dolphins.
The Seahawks are sizzling as Russell Wilson is the early front runner for NFL MVP. The Dolphins appear to have found an identity on offense and hope to have success against an inconsistent Seattle defense. Kickoff inside Hard Rock Stadium is at 1PM ET.
The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:
|Seattle Seahawks||-6.5 (-110)||-290||Over 54 (-110)|
|Miami Dolphins||+6.5 (-110)||+245||Under 54(-110)|
|Betting Data||Seattle Seahawks||Miami Dolphins|
|2020 ATS Home||2-0||1-0|
|2020 ATS Away||1-0||1-1|
|2020 O/U Home||2-0||1-0|
|2020 O/U Away||1-0||0-2|
These two franchises have played against each other 15 total times and it’s the Dolphins leading the series with a 10-5 record. The last time they faced each other was in 2016 and Seattle won that game 12 to 10. Miami has won five of the last seven head to head matchups.
Seattle opened as a -6.5 to -7 point favorite with most NFL betting sites. Depending on which sportsbook you use, that spread has settled at -6.5 in favor of the Seahawks. The Over/Under opened at 54 total points and remains unchanged with most sports betting sites.
Seattle comes into this game with the 2nd ranked scoring offense at 37ppg. They also have the 5th ranked passing attack at 308.3ypg and the early season NFL MVP Russell Wilson who has thrown for 925 yards, 14 TDs and just one INT.
Seattle is averaging 426.7 total ypg and the Dolphins are giving up 415.3 total ypg along with 281.7 passing ypg and 21.7 ppg.
However, Miami did give up 31 points to Buffalo who also has one of the league’s best passing attacks. So, don’t get fooled by the number of points that the Dolphins allow per game. They played against a run heavy Pats team and an inconsistent Jaguars team.
The Dolphins offense has put up 23.3ppg, but they did most of that in the last two weeks with 28 points against Buffalo and 31 points against the Jaguars.
Seattle has allowed 506.3 total ypg, 439.7 passing ypg, and 28.7ppg. I see Miami QB Ryan Fitzpatrick having a statistically good day by time it’s all said and done. Look for “Fitzmagic” to put up 300 yards and a few TDs in a losing effort.
Despite Seattle’s defense giving up a lot of yards and points, much of that was when they were well ahead of their opponents and allowed garbage time stats. That should happen here as well, which means we will see the teams easily hit the Over 54 points in this matchup.
Combined, these teams average 60.3 total ppg. Seattle has allowed 30+ points in their last two weeks while Miami has averaged nearly that mark in their last two weeks.
For Seattle, the Over is 12-4 in their last 16 AFC games and 7-1 in their last eight games against the AFC East. For Miami, the Over is 5-0 in their last five home games and 4-2 in their last six NFC West matchups.
On the season, Seattle has gone Over in all three games while the Dolphins hit the Over in their one home game so far.
Look for Russell Wilson to have a monster game on Sunday with Fitzmagic not too far behind. I expect Seattle to get out to a big lead and then let the Dolphins put up some garbage time stats. This game will probably hit the Over by the late 3rd quarter.
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