On Saturday, October 26th, the #13 Wisconsin Badgers will travel to Columbus, Ohio, to take on the #3 Ohio State Buckeyes in a Big Ten battle with significant ramifications. Unfortunately, this game lost some of its luster after Wisconsin lost last weekend to the Illinois Fighting Illini.
If Wisconsin would’ve won like they were predicted to, then this game could’ve been a battle of two Top 5 teams. The winner would’ve cemented themselves in one of the coveted CFP playoff spots provided they won out the rest of the year. Unfortunately, this game won’t have as much of a postseason impact.
Now, Ohio State will have to keep winning convincingly since this game won’t be as big of a deal. With that said, college football betting sites believe that the Buckeyes are a two-touchdown favorite in this matchup. Can the Wisconsin Badgers pull off a huge upset, or will the Ohio State Buckeyes flex their Big Ten muscles once again?
Kickoff inside Ohio Stadium, “The Shoe,” will begin at 12 PM ET.
We've been challenged all year to be tough and bring energy.
These two teams have played against each other 84 times with the Buckeyes leading this Big Ten rivalry 59-18-5. The Buckeyes have also won six straight head to head meetings, including two Big Ten Championship games in 2014 and 2017. Odds are that these two teams will meet in the Big Ten title game this year as well.
The last time that Wisconsin defeated Ohio State was in 2010. However, the last time the Badgers won at Columbus was in 2004. Since 2000, the Buckeyes are 12-4 against the Badgers, but 4-2 at home.
Head-to-Head Betting Trends
In their last 10 head to head meetings, the Buckeyes are 8-2 ATS while the Over/Under is 5-5.
The Badgers are 1-6 ATS in their last six games against Ohio State and 1-4 ATS in their last five games at “The Horseshoe.”
Wisconsin Betting Trends
The Badgers are 6-2 ATS in their last 10 overall games, 2-3 ATS in their previous five games as an Underdog, 11-12 ATS in their last 23 conference games, and 5-8 ATS during Week 5 through Week 9.
The Under is 4-1 in their last five overall games, 4-1 in their last five road games, and 4-1 in their last five Big Ten games.
Ohio State Betting Trends
The Buckeyes are 6-0 ATS in their last six overall games, 6-0 ATS in their last six Big Ten games, 5-1 ATS in their last six games on Saturdays, and 5-0 ATS in after winning two or more straight games.
The Over is 6-2 in their last eight October games and 7-1 in their previous eight Week 9 games.
Will The Badgers Shock the Buckeyes?
It’s hard to imagine that the Badgers will pull off this upset. That’s in large part due to their shucking upset at Illinois last weekend. The Badgers took that contest for granted and ended up allowing a game-winning field goal as time expired.
That vaunted Wisconsin defense gave up 315 total yards and 24 points to the Illini. Both of these numbers are staggering, considering that the Badgers had shut out two straight opponents in Kent and Michigan State. Furthermore, they only allow 193.4 total ypg, 135.4 passing ypg, 58.4 rushing ypg, and just 7.6 ppg.
So, what happened against Illinois?
In short, the Badgers didn’t put the game away. Wisconsin was up by nine points with a little more than nine minutes left in the game. They gave up 10 points in that span and lost in one of the biggest upsets in recent conference memory.
However, it wasn’t just the defense that let the game slip away, the offense did as well. And, you can put the blame on the coaches too. Wisconsin turned the ball over three times and had six penalties for 60 yards.
Even with that said, Wisconsin had the ball late in the game and couldn’t run the clock out. They got the ball with 5:53 left in the 4th quarter and were only able to take off three minutes before throwing an interception. This is inexcusable for a Badgers team that was ranked 6th in the nation.
When you put all of this together and compare it to the Buckeyes, there’s very little chance that Wisconsin will pull off the upset.
Free Big Ten Betting Prediction: Ohio State Buckeyes -14.5 (-105)
The Badgers have only played two road games so far, and they’re 1-1 during those contests. The bulk of their schedule has been at home where they’ve gone 5-0 and racked up some impressive numbers. With that said, I don’t see that trend continuing this weekend.
Wisconsin is a run-heavy offense with arguably the best running back in the country as Jonathan Taylor has 957 rushing yards and 15 rushing TDs through their first seven games. He’s fueled an offense to average 235.4 rushing ypg. Nevertheless, the biggest concern on offense is at the QB position.
Jack Coan has decent numbers with a 76% completion percentage, nine passing TDs and 2 INTs. However, he’s more of a game manager than a game winner. Coan is not going to beat top-ranked teams with his arm. And, he’s certainly not going to be able to win at Ohio State.
The Buckeyes defense will shut down the Wisconsin rushing attack as they’re only allowing 92.7 ypg on the ground. Furthermore, the Ohio State defense is only giving up 229 total ypg and just 8.0 ppg. The most points this defense has allowed all season is just 10, and that was to Michigan State and Indiana.
I can see Wisconsin scoring 10 points, but nothing close to their average of 39.7 ppg. Ohio State has scored at least 34 points in every contest as they’re averaging 49.7 ppg. The only game that they didn’t score at least 42 points was at Michigan State against another great defense.
Wisconsin might have one of the best defenses in the conference, but they don’t have the offense to hang with Ohio State. Eventually, the defense will wear down, and Ohio State will pull ahead on the scoreboard.
Buckeyes’ QB Justin Fields is having a stellar year so far with 1,492 passing yards, 22 TD passes, and just 1 INT. His backfield teammate J.K. Dobbins is quietly having a tremendous season with 947 rushing yards and 7 TDs. Although he doesn’t have as many rushing TDs, Dobbins has almost as good of numbers as Wisconsin RB Jonathan Taylor.
I don’t see Wisconsin being able to keep this game close for four quarters. In the end, the Buckeyes will pull away and cover the spread of 14.5 points. I also see this game going over 50 total points as the Buckeyes will do most of the heavy lifting. I believe Ohio State will win 38 to 20.
As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...
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